You mean Richard Walker? coat on... -----Original Message----- From: Leedslist <[email protected]> On Behalf Of Damian Walsh Sent: Saturday, 29 December 2018 9:56 PM To: leedslist <[email protected]> Subject: Re: [LU] Number crunching
What happened to that supercomputer that predicted all the results for the whole year? I remember that we were predicted to be second at Christmas but would lose all our matches in January never to recover....... On Sat, Dec 29, 2018 at 12:40 AM Nicholas Armit via Leedslist < [email protected]> wrote: > Think I said just that somewhere (twatter I think), 12 more wins > should do it.... > Nick > On Friday, December 28, 2018, 5:53:52 PM EST, Robert Heath < > [email protected]> wrote: > > How funny! > > I was just about to post to the list the results of my own analysis, > conducted last night at 4 am when I couldn't sleep. > > I looked up the # of points achieved by the 2nd place team in the last > 10 seasons. The highest was 93 (twice) and the lowest an incredibly > jammy 79 by Hull. The average is 88, but if you take out Hull's > ridiculous outlier, it becomes 89. Since we are Leeds, we all know we > will need to do better than that, so yeah I agree that 90 wood seem to be a > realistic target. > > Here's an interesting stat though. If you look at the # of pts by the > team finishing 3rd each season, the promotion cutoff total is often > reduced. Eg last year Cardiff went up with 90, but the 3rd place team > got 88, so 89 would still have been OK for Cardiff. On that basis, the > pts needed in each of the last 10 seasons, working back, have > been..........89 - 86 - 89 - 87 > - 86 - 78 - 87 - 81 - 80 - 81.........and the average is 84.4. > > I reckon if we can win 12 of our last 22 games we'll be up. > > And don't forget, of the 5 other teams in the top 6, we have already > played > 4 of them away (3 wins, 1 defeat.) > > On Fri, Dec 28, 2018 at 9:23 PM Altruistic1964 via Leedslist < > [email protected]> wrote: > > > Also been number crunching. Since the Championship came into being, > > on average the Champions have attained 93 points, second 87 points > > and a > play > > off place 74 points. So all looking very good. I too am trying to > > find solace in statistics.... > > > > Sent from my Xperia by Sony smartphone > > > > ---- Simon McNally wrote ---- > > > > >Evening > > >Been trying to convince myself that this is going to be our year > > >and > have > > been trying to come up with some numbers to support it! > > >Points required : I think 90 points is a reasonable amount to be > > >sure of > > promotion ( although I can hear the announcers on sky saying “Leeds > finish > > third with a record haul for third place”). > > > > > >First half of the season : 48 points. > > > > > >This leaves 42 required for promotion - i reckon 11 wins and 9 draws. > > >A win against Blackburn reduces it to 10 wins 9 draws. > > > > > >Comparison to first half : I think another way of looking at it is > > >to > > compare results in second half to first half. All the same results > > we finish on 96 points, 6 more then required. A win against > > Blackburn puts > us > > +3 compared to first half for a total of 99, 9 more than required. > > +Hull > > tomorrow is important (as they all are) , a win keeps us on pace for > > 99 whereas a draw puts us on for 97. Forest on New Year’s Day is > interesting- > > we drew at ER so a draw would put us on pace for 99 still whereas a > > win puts us up by 2. > > >Also makes WBA home perhaps less key - anything better than loss > > represents progress! > > >I think the first half of the season contained harder fixtures- > > >Millwall > > away plus WBA, Norwich, Blades, Derby away. > > >I’m already at the stage where I’m terrified just watching but > > >trying to > > use numbers to calm my nerves! > > >To my mind the major factor is Bielsa. We have the best manager in > > >the > > division and if anyone can lead us through to glory it’s him! > > > > > >On and on! > > > > > >S > > > > > >PS Blackburn game reminded me so much of Hull game in 1990. Is that > > >an > > omen? > > > > > > > > >Sent from my iPhone > > >_______________________________________________ > > >Leedslist mailing list > > >Info and options: > > >https://mailman.gn.apc.org/mailman/listinfo/leedslist > > >To unsubscribe, email [email protected] > > > > > >Find us on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/groups/leedslist/ > > > > > >RIP Jimmy WAC-COE > > _______________________________________________ > > Leedslist mailing list > > Info and options: > > https://mailman.gn.apc.org/mailman/listinfo/leedslist > > To unsubscribe, email [email protected] > > > > Find us on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/groups/leedslist/ > > > > RIP Jimmy WAC-COE > > > _______________________________________________ > Leedslist mailing list > Info and options: > https://mailman.gn.apc.org/mailman/listinfo/leedslist > To unsubscribe, email [email protected] > > Find us on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/groups/leedslist/ > > RIP Jimmy WAC-COE > > _______________________________________________ > Leedslist mailing list > Info and options: > https://mailman.gn.apc.org/mailman/listinfo/leedslist > To unsubscribe, email [email protected] > > Find us on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/groups/leedslist/ > > RIP Jimmy WAC-COE > _______________________________________________ Leedslist mailing list Info and options: https://mailman.gn.apc.org/mailman/listinfo/leedslist To unsubscribe, email [email protected] Find us on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/groups/leedslist/ RIP Jimmy WAC-COE _______________________________________________ Leedslist mailing list Info and options: https://mailman.gn.apc.org/mailman/listinfo/leedslist To unsubscribe, email [email protected] Find us on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/groups/leedslist/ RIP Jimmy WAC-COE
