What happened to that supercomputer that predicted all the results for the whole year? I remember that we were predicted to be second at Christmas but would lose all our matches in January never to recover.......
On Sat, Dec 29, 2018 at 12:40 AM Nicholas Armit via Leedslist < [email protected]> wrote: > Think I said just that somewhere (twatter I think), 12 more wins should > do it.... > Nick > On Friday, December 28, 2018, 5:53:52 PM EST, Robert Heath < > [email protected]> wrote: > > How funny! > > I was just about to post to the list the results of my own analysis, > conducted last night at 4 am when I couldn't sleep. > > I looked up the # of points achieved by the 2nd place team in the last 10 > seasons. The highest was 93 (twice) and the lowest an incredibly jammy 79 > by Hull. The average is 88, but if you take out Hull's ridiculous outlier, > it becomes 89. Since we are Leeds, we all know we will need to do better > than that, so yeah I agree that 90 wood seem to be a realistic target. > > Here's an interesting stat though. If you look at the # of pts by the team > finishing 3rd each season, the promotion cutoff total is often reduced. Eg > last year Cardiff went up with 90, but the 3rd place team got 88, so 89 > would still have been OK for Cardiff. On that basis, the pts needed in each > of the last 10 seasons, working back, have been..........89 - 86 - 89 - 87 > - 86 - 78 - 87 - 81 - 80 - 81.........and the average is 84.4. > > I reckon if we can win 12 of our last 22 games we'll be up. > > And don't forget, of the 5 other teams in the top 6, we have already played > 4 of them away (3 wins, 1 defeat.) > > On Fri, Dec 28, 2018 at 9:23 PM Altruistic1964 via Leedslist < > [email protected]> wrote: > > > Also been number crunching. Since the Championship came into being, on > > average the Champions have attained 93 points, second 87 points and a > play > > off place 74 points. So all looking very good. I too am trying to find > > solace in statistics.... > > > > Sent from my Xperia by Sony smartphone > > > > ---- Simon McNally wrote ---- > > > > >Evening > > >Been trying to convince myself that this is going to be our year and > have > > been trying to come up with some numbers to support it! > > >Points required : I think 90 points is a reasonable amount to be sure of > > promotion ( although I can hear the announcers on sky saying “Leeds > finish > > third with a record haul for third place”). > > > > > >First half of the season : 48 points. > > > > > >This leaves 42 required for promotion - i reckon 11 wins and 9 draws. > > >A win against Blackburn reduces it to 10 wins 9 draws. > > > > > >Comparison to first half : I think another way of looking at it is to > > compare results in second half to first half. All the same results we > > finish on 96 points, 6 more then required. A win against Blackburn puts > us > > +3 compared to first half for a total of 99, 9 more than required. Hull > > tomorrow is important (as they all are) , a win keeps us on pace for 99 > > whereas a draw puts us on for 97. Forest on New Year’s Day is > interesting- > > we drew at ER so a draw would put us on pace for 99 still whereas a win > > puts us up by 2. > > >Also makes WBA home perhaps less key - anything better than loss > > represents progress! > > >I think the first half of the season contained harder fixtures- Millwall > > away plus WBA, Norwich, Blades, Derby away. > > >I’m already at the stage where I’m terrified just watching but trying to > > use numbers to calm my nerves! > > >To my mind the major factor is Bielsa. We have the best manager in the > > division and if anyone can lead us through to glory it’s him! > > > > > >On and on! > > > > > >S > > > > > >PS Blackburn game reminded me so much of Hull game in 1990. Is that an > > omen? > > > > > > > > >Sent from my iPhone > > >_______________________________________________ > > >Leedslist mailing list > > >Info and options: https://mailman.gn.apc.org/mailman/listinfo/leedslist > > >To unsubscribe, email [email protected] > > > > > >Find us on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/groups/leedslist/ > > > > > >RIP Jimmy WAC-COE > > _______________________________________________ > > Leedslist mailing list > > Info and options: https://mailman.gn.apc.org/mailman/listinfo/leedslist > > To unsubscribe, email [email protected] > > > > Find us on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/groups/leedslist/ > > > > RIP Jimmy WAC-COE > > > _______________________________________________ > Leedslist mailing list > Info and options: https://mailman.gn.apc.org/mailman/listinfo/leedslist > To unsubscribe, email [email protected] > > Find us on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/groups/leedslist/ > > RIP Jimmy WAC-COE > > _______________________________________________ > Leedslist mailing list > Info and options: https://mailman.gn.apc.org/mailman/listinfo/leedslist > To unsubscribe, email [email protected] > > Find us on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/groups/leedslist/ > > RIP Jimmy WAC-COE > _______________________________________________ Leedslist mailing list Info and options: https://mailman.gn.apc.org/mailman/listinfo/leedslist To unsubscribe, email [email protected] Find us on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/groups/leedslist/ RIP Jimmy WAC-COE
