Patrik, Of course, the exact depletion date experienced by an ISP will vary very widely. 2015 is the date *most frequently* cited by the ISPs reported on in draft-ietf-v6ops-isp-scenarios.
Regards Brian Carpenter On 2010-05-28 17:04, Patrik Fältström wrote: > I also think 2015 is very optimistic for some players. Specifically cellphone > providers that provide data access over for example 3G or 4G. The growth is > so fast that the block allocations from the RIRs are hard to compute. > > I helped one at the last RIPE meeting in Prague, and then will now get a /13 > that will help them through calendar year 2010. They will definitely not be > able to get today the addresses they need until 2015. And they definitely do > not have it. > > And that is in Sweden, only 9 million people. > > Patrik > > On 27 maj 2010, at 22.02, <[email protected]> wrote: > >> 2015 seems awfully optimistic. I wouldn't want to be the poor soul >> responsible for their ISP network who built a transition plan based on a >> 2015 depletion and then realized I was wrong by a few years. >> >> >> Jason >> >> -----Original Message----- >> From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of >> Brian E Carpenter >> Sent: Thursday, May 27, 2010 12:14 PM >> To: Ole Jacobsen >> Cc: Noel Chiappa; [email protected] >> Subject: Re: IPv4 depletion makes CNN >> >> On 2010-05-28 02:44, Ole Jacobsen wrote: >>> I guess my point was more that this article actually quotes a *real* >>> expert rather than someone we've never heard of --- a more common >>> practice for the press. Whether or not you agree with Daniel, he does >>> at least have extensive experience in these matters. >> The major problem with the story is that it confounds IANA runout >> (objectively predicted for 2011) with when ISPs run out of IPv4 space >> (which is not so easy to predict, but 2015 is a popular estimate). The >> rest is pretty good for a story in the non-technical media, IMHO. >> >> You can find Daniel's recent talk at http://www.ipv6.ie/summit2010/. >> >> Brian >> _______________________________________________ >> Ietf mailing list >> [email protected] >> https://www.ietf.org/mailman/listinfo/ietf >> _______________________________________________ >> Ietf mailing list >> [email protected] >> https://www.ietf.org/mailman/listinfo/ietf > _______________________________________________ Ietf mailing list [email protected] https://www.ietf.org/mailman/listinfo/ietf
