Interesting re 2):

"The survey found that organizations are running an average of four mainframes with an average age of 17 years. Sixty-four percent are running mainframes between 10 and 20 years old, with 28% running machines that are 20 to 30 years old. "

So 2/7 are running machines over 20+ years old?  And 2/3 over 10 years?  What does that even mean?  Smells fishy to me.  What is the sample size?  Is it biased somehow?

Cheers,
Peter

On 9/06/2020 10:02 pm, Bob Bridges wrote:
A coworker just sent me this brief article.

https://www.techrepublic.com/article/everyone-wants-to-retire-mainframes-but-74-of-modernization-efforts-fail/

I'm interested in two aspects of this:

1) The writer uses the word "modernization" quite a bit, and as far as I can tell she 
uses it, without explanation, to mean "switching from mainframes to more recently invented 
platforms".  This is the old assumption we've talked about recently.

2) There's a really surprising number in there:

"...almost 100% of survey respondents plan to move legacy applications to the 
cloud this year and the motivation to move is clear:

- 60% strongly agree they will be left behind competitively if they fail to 
modernize
- 33% say modernizing has allowed the company to be more reactive to market 
changes
- 34% say legacy modernization has accelerated digital transformation projects

About three-quarters of leaders said they have started a modernization program but 
failed to complete it...."

Can that "almost 100%" claim be true?  I confess that three out of my last three clients 
are talking about eliminating the mainframe, but I supposed it to be an anomaly.  Maybe the survey 
used the word "modernize" and the author ~assumed~ this must mean dropping the mainframe.

The article also says "Mainframes are still critical to business operations with 71% 
of the Fortune 500 depending on these machines, including 92 of the world's 100 largest 
banks".  Come on - she's telling us that almost ~all~ of those companies intend to 
switch legacy applications to the cloud?  I just can't buy that.  ~My~ bank had certainly 
better not be planning such a move.

---
Bob Bridges, robhbrid...@gmail.com, cell 336 382-7313

/* If a problem has a single neck, it has a simple solution. */

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