"Elon really wants to save the world - but only if it's him who does it." 
-- Sam Altman

 

From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> On Behalf Of cody dooderson
Sent: Thursday, February 13, 2025 11:33 AM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] OpenAI and the fight between Elon and Sam

 

I want to like Musk. At one point I did, for the reasons mentioned above. I am 
suspicious that his neuro-link is malfunctioning and destroying his empathy. 
That being said, I am hopeful that he brings the metric system to the USA, and 
somehow doesn't end up in charge of the nuclear weapons arsenal in the process. 

 

On Wed, Feb 12, 2025, 7:23 PM steve smith <sasm...@swcp.com 
<mailto:sasm...@swcp.com> > wrote:





Steve,

I really like your reply. There’s a lot I could comment on and maybe add a 
different perspective—not as a competing argument, but just another view. But 
for now, I’ll focus on this part:

It seems possible, for example, that Tesla's dominance in the EV market is 
past...

I wouldn’t be so sure.

I'm definitely not "sure", just noting that things have their eras and timings. 
  Many very innovative and (for a moment) powerful vehicle manufacturers have 
come and gone for many reasons.  I don't know how much of the Tesla innovations 
can be reverse-engineered or mimicked and/or leap-frogged.   Or made completely 
obselete the way the Steam Autos of the turn of 1900 were in spite of amazing 
multiple innovations to make them possible/viable).

Private automobiles (and maybe even rideshare/robotaxi) may be on their last 
decade or so anyway (see PubCrawl thread with Glen).

Or maybe everyone Jacked on Synthetic Testosterone will flee to Mars and leave 
this lousy Blue Green Ball of Dirt for us dirty hippies to wallow on while they 
all become hyperCyborgs and we wait for Ma Nature to clean up our messes?

Contrary to this:  I just had my second hip replaced and have a brand new  
(Hypershell via Kickstarter <https://hypershell.tech/en-us> ) lower-body 
exoskeleton I hope to be sporting for recovery-enhancement soon).  I'm waiting 
for XR/AR glasses to jump one more generation and I'll then probably wandering 
around the countryside talking twith them while they identify every plant, 
animal, rock and cloud formation for me and chat me up with all the absurd 
possible implications of all that?  After all their LLM backing will have read 
every book I have and many I have not and *I* will be giving it access to the 
human bipedal equivalent of "FSD data gathering" while likely being it's "Meat 
Puppet"?

Maybe some other real people/humans will start dropping by my house more often 
to teach me GO strategy and talk about "Cabbages and Kings and Sealing Wax" 
before I go full transhuman/cyborg/meat-puppet in spite of my Luddite 
tendencies?  Maybe cook a meal together (or just shake up a flask of 
Huel/Soylent?).  Maybe let me show them how to fire a classic blacksmith's 
forge with low-sulfur coal and beat a leaf spring into a plowshare or 
something?  Or pet a chicken whilst stealing her egg.  Nostalgic eh?  So 
mid-2020s of me.  

I can't wait for what late 2025 will bring, if we survive that long?  If I were 
20 years younger I'd be digging a bomb shelter with microfiltration (against th 
enext pandemic) and stocking staples and trade goods... but I'm not and ready 
to go down in the blaze of self-glory along with everyone else (except Larry 
Ellison and a few others who own their own islands in the middle of the 
Pacific?)

For this dystopic perspective I recommend Doctorow's 2018 "Masque of the Red 
Death" which shows the folly of such wankBillionaires... 

a wealthy prepper named Martin Mars, who has built a high-tech survival bunker 
called "Fort Doom" in anticipation of societal collapse. As the world falls 
apart due to pandemics, climate disasters, and economic collapse, Martin 
believes his careful planning and resources will keep him and his chosen elite 
safe. However, things don’t go as planned, and the story critiques the flawed 
logic of billionaire survivalists who think they can escape the consequences of 
global catastrophe.

grumble,

  - Steve

 

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