While I remember, on a related note:

It would be very nice if someone could inspect the data at
http://munin.debconf.org/archive/

and see how the final numbers of arrived attendees
http://munin.debconf.org/archive/dc12/skinner.debconf.org-penta_conferences_arrived.html

compare to the number of people who had registered at the date of the relevant year's sponsorship deadline in e.g.
http://munin.debconf.org/archive/dc10/skinner.debconf.org-penta_conferences_attend.html
http://munin.debconf.org/archive/dc11/skinner.debconf.org-penta_conferences_attend.html
http://munin.debconf.org/archive/dc12/skinner.debconf.org-penta_conferences_attend.html

Knowing the past range of the ratio (final arrived attendees)/(planned attendees at sponsorship deadline) might let us make a better estimate for the final number of attendees this year.

--
Moray
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