The success of the UCT-MC method, especially in the 19x19 Go game, surprises 
many people. It has been?mostly atributed to?the special features of the UCT 
algorithm. These features does play an essential roles They made it possible 
for the evaluation method of Monte-Carlo to work. However, the success of 
the?UCT-MC is largely due to the nature of the Monte-Carlo(MC) evaluation 
method. I'll explain this.

First, let's give a more precise definition of the MC evaluation. That is MC 
simulation is a random function. It's variable is the random playing sequence. 
The distribution of the MC random function approximate the structure of the 
evaluation space of the Go game. Now we need the definition of the evaluation 
space. The evaluation space?consists of all possibe final score and move 
sequence pairs. 

The success of the MC evaluation can be explained by the following example. 
Let's assume we have 4 magnetic balls placed on a surface. Two painted white 
and two painted balck.?If we throw a 5th magnetic ball at them, what's the 
probability of the 5th ball stick with a white ball? An alpha-beta search will 
answer the question by trying out all possibilities. A MC evaluation will 
answer the question by doing simulations.?As the 4 magnetic?balls?are concerned 
there isn't much difference in computation time between the two methods. 
However, when the number of the colored magnetic balls becomes very large, the 
advantage of the MC method becomes?better factorially. In another word the MC 
evaluation turns the discrete problem into an continuoues area problem.

DL?
?


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