You neglected to consider the power of future quantum computers.

On 1/12/07, Mark Boon <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:


On 12-jan-07, at 14:16, Chris Fant wrote:


Plus, some would argue that any Go

already is solved (write simple algorithm and wait 1 billion years

while it runs).
To 'solve' a game in the strict sense you need to know the best answer to
every move. And you need to be able to prove that it's the best move. To do
so you need to look at the following number of positions AMP^(AGL/2) where
AMP is average number of moves in a position and AGL is the average game
length. If I take a conservative AGL of 260 moves, we can compute the AMP
from that, being (365+(365-AGL))/2=235 So we get 235^130, which is about
10^300 as a lower bound. The upper bound is something like 195^170 (play
until all groups have 2 eyes) which my calculator is unable to compute, but
I think it's roughly 10^400. I'm guessing it's questionable whether we'd be
able to compute that even with a computer the size of this planet before the
sun goes out. Distributing the work over other planets or star-sysems will
only help marginally due to the time it takes to send information to Earth
by the speed of light. So I'd say it's impossible.

Mark


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