> -----Original Message-----
> From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
> Behalf Of Charlie Bell
> Sent: Friday, June 30, 2006 1:07 PM
> To: Killer Bs Discussion
> Subject: Re: SCOUTED: Bush is Not Incompetent

>With the ongoing marginalisation of genuine
> debate in favour of monochrome highly partisan ideology-damn-the-
> reality politics in the US (with the UK and Aus hot on your heels) do
> you see the need for a change in the voting system to represent a
> multitude of policies (maybe even proportional representation and/or
> Single Transferable Vote) to filter out the extreme edges and allow
> the middle ground a fair go?
> 

I think that a much simpler change in the voting system would have a
tremendously favorable result, while not introducing the problems inherent
in true multi-party systems (the compromises come after, not before people
are elected).  

One thing that is a very recent trend in US politics is the expansion of
"safe" districts.  These "safe" districts are, at least partially, the
result of state legislatures redrawing the congressional district maps every
10 years, after the census.  One party, or the other, usually controls the
state house, which is responsible for drawing up the map.  This allows the
map to reflect the interest of that party's politicians.  

According to the Cook Political Report,

http://www.cookpolitical.com/races/report_pdfs/2006_house_comp_jun29.pdf

there are, currently, 361 seats in the House that are rock solid for one
party, 29 that are likely for one party, 31 leaning for one party, and 14
are toss ups.  As far as I can tell, not one challenger is favored to
win....and only 10 challengers have reached the toss-up mark.  (The other 4
toss ups are vacated seats).  

The second part of the inertia is the power of incumbency.  One poll
question illustrates this.  66% of Americans think that, on the whole, the
ethics and honesty of Congress is not-so-good to poor.  But, only 33% of
Americans think this of their present representative.

As a result, the House tends to be filled with people who excite the
faithful in their districts, instead of people who appeal to a broad
spectrum.  In the past, the middle of the political spectrum was better
represented, because each party knew it needed candidates that could fend
off challenges.  In "safe" districts, this is a minor concern....and the
overwhelming majority of districts are "safe."

One of the clear indications of this was the impeachment of Clinton.  The
Republicans lost seats in an election in which the party that is not in
power (in the 6th year of an 8 year presidency) almost always gains seats.
But, since the overwhelming majority of Republicans were in safe districts,
they didn't bother to take the hint, and proceeded.

Dan M. 


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