--- Erik Reuter <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > Also, interest rates have been low for a long
> time.  What's holding
> > them low and what would be the effect of a
> substantial increase?
> 
> The Fed is holding short term rates low to stimulate
> the economy! You
> must have read that in the newspaper sometime in the
> past couple years?
> Also, Chinese and Japanese purchases of US bonds
> have been helping to
> keep longer term rates low.

Very interesting discussion.  Two points I would add:
First, the historically low levels of inflation for a
prolonged period of time are often attributed to the
influence of globalization, forcing companies to hold
the line on prices.  This may explain why - despite
the increase in oil prices - inflation has been
basically non-existent for a prolonged period of time.

Second, interest rates may not be as low as they seem.
 They are often thought of as real interest rates -
the interest rate minus the inflation rate.  Given the
extremely low inflation rate, real interest rates
aren't (I believe) at historically low levels.

=====
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com

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