On Sat, Nov 27, 2021, 8:08 PM <[email protected]> wrote:

> And so it follows: We could be in a sim then.
>

We could be. The fact that our universe has finite computing capacity
(10^120 qubit flips, 10^90 bits of memory) suggests that the universe is
itself a computation. Occam's razor suggests that the simplest explanation
of physics is that all possible universes and ours is among the simplest
that allows the evolution of life. That reduces the Kolmogorov complexity
of our universe from a few hundred bits (the description length of physics)
to a few bits.

What that means for us is that physics will behave predictably and won't do
anything weird, because it would take a longer program to do that. It is
unlikely that we are a complex program written by intelligent beings like
us. For example, it is unlikely that just our solar system is modeled at
the quantum level while the other 2^80 stars and planets are simulated more
coarsely, like a projection on a dome. That would increase the Kolmogorov
complexity by at least 80 bits, making it 2^80 times less likely. It is
even less likely that you are a brain in a bottle by a factor of 2^10^9,
because it takes 10^9 bits to model a human mind.

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Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI
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