1. I flip a fair coin. I peek at the result without showing you. It is heads. What is the probability that the coin came up heads?
2. While you sleep I plan to make 5 atom for atom identical copies of you in different rooms. Then I will roll a die and pick one of the six still sleeping copies to kill instantly. Knowing this, what is your subjective probability that you will wake up in the same room? 3. (Bostrom's simulation argument). There is a 1% chance that sometime in the next billion years that we will create a computer simulation of the present day world and run a million copies of it. What is the probability that we are living in a simulation? ------------------------------------------ Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI Permalink: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/Tefd74cfe5df991e0-M7e24951f56909af2a81fb243 Delivery options: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription
