On 2020-02-09 13:19:PM, Matt Mahoney wrote:
On Sat, Feb 8, 2020, 5:28 PM Matt Mahoney <[email protected]
<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
3. (Bostrom's simulation argument). There is a 1% chance that
sometime in the next billion years that we will create a computer
simulation of the present day world and run a million copies of
it. What is the probability that we are living in a simulation?
Probability is a measure of belief in future events. But since there
is no test for living in a simulation, there are no future events to
predict and the question is meaningless.
There not being any test for living in a simulation is only true
for perfect simulations. However, not much is perfect. Simulations
may be glitchy, small, of low resolution, inaccurate, leaky or have a
bunch of other flaws and defects. p(sim) might be a bit vague,
but it seems reasonable to ask after the scientific
consensus on the issue at some future date. If we are in a
simulation, it is not that implausible that we could find out.
--
__________
|im |yler http://timtyler.org/
------------------------------------------
Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI
Permalink:
https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/Tefd74cfe5df991e0-M9c0f731e4523046196eaaa89
Delivery options: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription
