If you would find it interesting to subject social theories to the lossless compression model selection criterion, you should vote up this question at metaculus.com
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3215/will-lossless-compression-of-data-be-accepted-as-a-model-selection-criterion-in-the-social-sciences/ metaculus.com is a quasi-delphi method polling site. On Fri, Oct 11, 2019 at 2:14 PM James Bowery <[email protected]> wrote: > Most urgently: To head off imminent civil war by, instead, resolving > disputes over consequences of social policy to be resolved with the degree > of lossless compression as the model selection criterion. > > Think about this, guys: > > Chicago has one of the highest rates of gun violence of any city in the > world. Downstate Illinois is typical of The Nation of Settlers: Radically > supportive of individualism including the right to keep and bear arms. The > Illinois governor is from a wealthy Chicago real estate family. Property > values in Chicago are brought down by its gun violence. The Illinois > legislature recently considered widespread gun confiscation under an > interpretation of the 2nd, 9th, 10th, and 14th amendments. Downstate > Illinois citizens immediately formed armed militias prepared to fight to > the death. For now, the Illinois government has backed off. > > There is a trend throughout the US for states -- particularly those in > opposition to Trump -- to invoke State nullification under their > interpretations of the 9th, 10th, and 14th amendments. In some cases, > these attempts at nullification are entirely Constitutional, as in repeal > of drug laws that the Feds want to retain control over without a > Constitutional grant of power. In most cases, though, these are clear > violations of the US Constitution, such as "sanctuary States", like > California, that obstruct legitimate Federal powers. > > Moreover, there is a clear trend toward polarization in the body politic > over social policy -- primarily between urban and rural populations. At > this point the polarization is so extreme that there is little likelihood > of a peaceful resolution unless rationality can be imposed on the "national > conversation" over social policy and its implications for the etiology of > social ills. > > If violence breaks out, here's how its going to go down: > > 1) During a cold snap, the natural gas and electric grid supplies of the > major cities will go down simultaneously. > 2) The water supplies of the major cities will go down simultaneously. > 3) Transportation infrastructure into the major cities will go down > simultaneously. > > 100 million people will die, primarily in the major urban areas like NYC, > Chicago, Detroit, LA, SF, Miami, Washington DC, Philadelphia, Portland > (OR), Seattle and Houston. > > Conflict will spread to all areas of the West that have permitted large > scale immigration from non-Western countries. > > The likely response of the centers of power will be dispersion of > biological agents targeted at rural genotypes. > > 25% of Western populations will die. > > On Fri, Oct 11, 2019 at 10:03 AM <[email protected]> wrote: > >> The Lord. >> >> Well. Good question. I've tasted life and want more. I figured out I'm >> going to die and I'm planning all my time into working on a big plan, >> resisting all fun and valuing my plan instead. >> *Artificial General Intelligence List <https://agi.topicbox.com/latest>* >> / AGI / see discussions <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi> + >> participants <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/members> + delivery >> options <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription> Permalink >> <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/Td4a5dff7d017676c-M5ef98d30419559710ba87996> >> ------------------------------------------ Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI Permalink: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/Td4a5dff7d017676c-M799b4d7b2f5714ee973f0f82 Delivery options: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription
