So was my thoughts about debris correct. If it becomes a shitshow does it clear itself out in 5 years?

On 06/15/2020 12:13 PM, Carl Peterson wrote:
A generic calculation for a 500km orbit gives you around 10 years. The design of the starlink satellite is somewhat optimized for this in that when it is controllable it presents a knife edge to atmospheric drag but uncontrolled it will slowly start to tumble and degrade much faster. ~5 years at 550km without looking it up.

On Mon, Jun 15, 2020 at 2:02 PM Bill Prince <part15...@gmail.com <mailto:part15...@gmail.com>> wrote:

    SpaceX states that at the current service altitude, the satellites will
    be-orbit in ~~ 5 years. That's one of the reasons they went with the
    lower service altitude. The original was up substantially; perhaps
    where
    the 10 year number came from.


    bp
    <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

    On 6/15/2020 11:44 AM, Robert Andrews wrote:
     > & I believe debris at that altitude deorbits even faster..
     >
     > On 06/15/2020 10:51 AM, castarritt . wrote:
     >> with a ~500km altitude, they deorbit naturally after ~10years
    from drag.
     >>
     >> On Mon, Jun 15, 2020 at 12:36 PM Adam Moffett
    <dmmoff...@gmail.com <mailto:dmmoff...@gmail.com>
     >> <mailto:dmmoff...@gmail.com <mailto:dmmoff...@gmail.com>>> wrote:
     >>
     >>     Theoretically a Ubiquiti Nanostation was carrier grade and
    would do
     >>     150Mbps.  It said so on the datasheet.
     >>
     >>     Just saying maybe the small, cheap satellite will work
    exactly as
     >>     intended and maybe it'll have a firmware crash during a
    sunspot and
     >>     just become a piece of high velocity garbage.  Even a low
    failure
     >>     rate over many years could eventually leave a whole crapload
    of them
     >>     buzzing around up there.
     >>
     >>     .....I'm sure people smarter than me have thought of all that.
     >>     Haven't they?
     >>
     >>
     >>     On 6/15/2020 1:26 PM, Bill Prince wrote:
     >>>
     >>>     WRT orbiting debris; it's all good until the first "accident".
     >>>     Then we will see how this all shakes out. If it's bad
    enough, it
     >>>     could cause SpaceX (and all its brethren) to relinquish all the
     >>>     orbital space unless/until they provide a mitigation plan.
    To some
     >>>     extent they are structuring their constellation to de-orbit
     >>>     quickly already. Plus their sats are theoretically designed to
     >>>     de-orbit on their own at end of life.
     >>>
     >>>
     >>>     bp
     >>>     <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
     >>>
     >>>     On 6/15/2020 9:48 AM, Steve Jones wrote:
     >>>>     That explains what this whole CHAZ thing is, they wanted first
     >>>>     chance at some space x bandwidth.
     >>>>
     >>>>     Im not a fan of star link, i think its going to cause some
    major
     >>>>     debris field issues in space for future generations. But
    nobody
     >>>>     can argue with the fact that it is really cool that a guy like
     >>>>     musk exists who just wants to do some really cool shit, so he
     >>>>     does some really cool shit. Every kid at some point in
    life said,
     >>>>     I wanna go to mars. Hes just like, yeah, imma go to mars.
     >>>>
     >>>>
     >>>>     On Sun, Jun 14, 2020 at 6:04 PM Robert
    <i...@avantwireless.com <mailto:i...@avantwireless.com>
     >>>>     <mailto:i...@avantwireless.com
    <mailto:i...@avantwireless.com>>> wrote:
     >>>>
     >>>>         They are already peering in Seattle, and will only be
     >>>>         northern latitudes for a year according to a "insider" (
     >>>>         there are hundreds if not thousands of them )....
     >>>>
     >>>>
     >>>>         On 6/14/20 1:16 PM, Bill Prince wrote:
     >>>>>
     >>>>>         In case anyone was watching SpaceX put up another 58
     >>>>>         Starlink sats on Saturday. That puts them at almost
    double
     >>>>>         the number they claimed to need to enable their "private
     >>>>>         beta". I'm sure it's underway, plus they're running some
     >>>>>         kind of test  with the US military.
     >>>>>
     >>>>>         All the sats except for the first batch of 60 are of
    the 1.0
     >>>>>         design. Depending on which news blurb you read, these
    sats
     >>>>>         all have to relay directly through ground stations,
    or they
     >>>>>         have some limited ability to go sat-to-sat via an RF
    link.
     >>>>>         We may find out before the end of the year.
     >>>>>
     >>>>>         They also stated that they c/would start the public beta
     >>>>>         when they had ~~ 800 sats in orbit. By my seat-of the
    pants
     >>>>>         estimation, that will be another 4-1/2 launches from now;
     >>>>>         maybe another 3 months. Call it September, but who knows.
     >>>>>
     >>>>>         I think the biggest obstacle at this point is their pizza
     >>>>>         box/flying saucer on a stick user terminal. I heard one
     >>>>>         estimate that the build cost for it are in the
    neighborhood
     >>>>>         of $1200.
     >>>>>
     >>>>>         I would say by the beginning of 2021, this topic will not
     >>>>>         longer be "OT".
     >>>>>
     >>>>>         If you want to get notification when they can service
    your
     >>>>>         area, go here <https://www.starlink.com/>.
     >>>>>
     >>>>>
     >>>>>         --
     >>>>>         bp
     >>>>>         <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
     >>>>>
     >>>>>
     >>>>
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