Maybe I will just go get a prophylactic tracheostomy now before the rush 
starts.  

From: Jason McKemie 
Sent: Friday, March 20, 2020 12:14 AM
To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group 
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT: virus anomalies

No, we have a media problem, views and clicks pay, and panic gets more of those 
than anything else. Not that there isn't an issue, but we're "capitalizing" on 
it the most efficiently.  

On Friday, March 20, 2020, Kurt Fankhauser <lists.wavel...@gmail.com> wrote:

  I'm on the county health board here, they are extremely worried about what is 
to come. They say the "peak" and "flattening" isn't expected till Mid May. They 
have not released that to the public yet because they don't want to create 
panic but sounds like this lockdown could be a new way of life for at least a 
few months. They are also talking about the possibility of refrigerated semi 
trailers for the dead bodies if they get that many. Our county population is 
over 40,000 and between the two hospitals here they have only 8 ventilators. If 
just one half of 1 percent of the population here needs critical care that is 
over 200 people. The two hospitals here are only setup for a couple dozen ICU 
beds each. Traditionally trauma patients that come in here are forwarded to one 
of the bigger cities which will not be an option due to overstretched resources 
in the bigger cities and them having even bigger problems than us. Consider 
that some of the data suggests 10-20% of the infected will need hospitalized 
you start to grasp the real threat to the healthcare system. Trump knows all 
this, he was probably briefed with the numbers over a month ago. He would not 
be tanking the economy right now if this wasn't a real threat of happening. If 
it wasn't for the travel ban we would probably be right there with Italy as we 
speak...

  On Fri, Mar 20, 2020 at 12:21 AM Mathew Howard <mhoward...@gmail.com> wrote:

    It's especially bad when revolting people revolt...

    On Thu, Mar 19, 2020 at 11:01 PM Jason McKemie 
<j.mcke...@veloxinetbroadband.com> wrote:

      People are revolting, but they will start to revolt...

      On Thursday, March 19, 2020, James Howard <ja...@litewire.net> wrote:

        are you saying that you're not revolting now?   Makes me think of the 3 
Stooges line "I resemble that remark"...... 

        Oh wait.  Did you mean that people will start to revolt?  Hmmm....  I 
thought you meant people were going to be revolting and most people already 
are.....

------------------------------------------------------------------------

        From: AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com> on behalf of Jason McKemie 
<j.mcke...@veloxinetbroadband.com>
        Sent: Thursday, March 19, 2020 8:37:51 PM
        To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group
        Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT: virus anomalies 

        Yeah, you can't have businesses closed past then or you're going to 
have people revolting (myself included).

        On Thu, Mar 19, 2020 at 3:43 PM Bill Prince <part15...@gmail.com> wrote:

          The isolation can not last more than a few weeks, or maybe a month - 
month and a half. At that point, we should have reduced the number of walking 
infections without symptoms, and maybe have the ability to actually test for 
it. After that, it's a crap shoot. 




bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

On 3/19/2020 1:18 PM, Mike Hammett wrote:

            With "flatten the curve" as your primary tool expected to take 
years and people only able to half pay attention for a few weeks, we'll have to 
find something else.




            -----
            Mike Hammett
            Intelligent Computing Solutions

            Midwest Internet Exchange

            The Brothers WISP






--------------------------------------------------------------------

            From: "Bill Prince" mailto:part15...@gmail.com
            To: af@af.afmug.com
            Sent: Thursday, March 19, 2020 2:54:45 PM
            Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT: virus anomalies


            The "plan" (no jokes please) seems to be short term isolation to 
try and flatten the curve. With that, all the infected people not having 
symptoms will become immune (to some extent) and no longer be contagious. I 
don't think we can keep people bottled up for more than a few weeks.



bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

On 3/19/2020 12:49 PM, Adam Moffett wrote:

              Has anybody laid out what the long term plan is? 

              We can't keep everybody at home forever and we can't stop all 
international trade and travel so sooner or later the virus has to run it's 
course, or so it seems to me.

              I know we're trying to slow down the spread so we don't overwhelm 
the hospital capacity and that's great.  Are we going to somehow reduce social 
isolation over time in a controlled way, or will social isolation end 
organically as people get sick of staying home?




              On 3/19/2020 3:16 PM, Steve Jones wrote:

                I dont know how many times i need to point out this logic 

                The US is undercounted, thats a given. undercounting does not 
equate hidden numbers of magnitude

                Heres the logic thats completely being ignored

                The deaths associated with COVID19 that werent tested would 
have been attributed to flu
                There has been no reported increase in flu deaths per the 
anticipated rates this year

                The testing that has been done is very promising. Yesterdays 
counts of those tested were running around 8 percent positive. This does NOT 
equate to 8 percent of the population. The "administration bad, nobody can just 
go get a test for curiousity" argument further strengthens this as a promising 
number. The ONLY people being tested for the most part, are those in the very 
high probability category. So of those assumed to be infected, only 8 percent 
of them actually are.

                We still havent hit globally the number of infections and 
deaths from the swine flu in the US alone. let me reiterate this GLOBALLY 
TODAY, there are less sick and dead, than from swine flu in the US ALONE. The 
current response is such that has never been seen in the history of the planet.

                Inmates are an issue, with a guard and an inmate at rikers 
island infected now, we have a national issue. if we dump the prisons, not only 
do we have a ton of criminals on the street, we have hundreds of thousands of 
indigent on the streets in the middle of a pandemic. (maybe not having locked 
up such a percentage of the population in the first place is a whole other OT 
rant). Iran dumped 70k inmates on the streets, i cant imagine that having 
helped their situation.

                Morons on spring break making a point of interacting even more 
than they normally would have is illogical enough to eliminate any logic.





                On Thu, Mar 19, 2020 at 2:00 PM Mathew Howard 
<mhoward...@gmail.com> wrote:

                  I don't know that Russia's numbers are terribly inaccurate... 
it's really just starting to spread there now, and the numbers aren't far off 
what other countries reported early on, and the cases they have reported are 
almost all in Moscow. They also have much tighter border controls than most of 
the world, and they're going on lockdown earlier into the outbreak than most 
countries did... so it's not unbelievable that they'd have low numbers at this 
point.

                  But who knows what's really going on in some of these 
countries... it certainly wouldn't surprise me if China is lying about their 
numbers, it all depends on what they think is in their best interests at this 
point, and I don't trust any information from or about North Korea, no matter 
what the source is, but the high level of government control over everything in 
North Korea could certainly give them an advantage in this situation.




                  On Thu, Mar 19, 2020 at 1:42 PM Bill Prince 
<part15...@gmail.com> wrote:

                    North Korea, Iraq, Iran, Russia, India, Mexico. I heard 
something on NPR this morning about mass graves in Iran. It may be years (or 
never) before we understand the scope of this.



bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

On 3/19/2020 11:37 AM, ch...@wbmfg.com wrote:

                      I still believe North Korea has a huge problem that they 
are covering up.  Especially in the labor camps.  Communal sleeping barns etc.  
No sanitation facilities.  

                      From: Bill Prince 
                      Sent: Thursday, March 19, 2020 12:34 PM
                      To: af@af.afmug.com 
                      Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT: virus anomalies

                      Only if they attribute it properly. There is plenty of 
data to indicate that deaths have been incorrectly attributed,


bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

On 3/19/2020 11:09 AM, James Howard wrote:

                        the death count is the death count

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