Not true. The Chinese have documented this. They have documented cases of people who tested positive w/o symptoms and their relatives got sick.

Kissy kissy.

bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

On 3/10/2020 6:30 PM, Steve Jones wrote:
There are no documented asymptomatic transmissions, fyi. Just assumptive transmissions.. John is married to Mary, Mary got sick, John tested positive, ie john must have given it to Mary because john works with a guy who had it. Except nobody bothers to note that john brought home a pen from work that both he and mary use. Quan boy jin at work, who had it, wrote a note to john at his desk. Quan doesn't wash his hands or sneeze into his shoulder

On Tue, Mar 10, 2020, 8:21 PM Bill Prince <part15...@gmail.com> wrote:

The difference is the fatality rate. While 12,469 deaths sounds horrible, it only amounts to a 0.02% fatality rate (assuming the 60 million infection number).

As far as we know (until we get better numbers on the total number of cases, nCOV is hitting right around 3.4 to 3.6 % fatal. If that rate holds, nCOV is 175X more fatal than H1N1.

If you look at JUST Italy, their rate so far is around 6%. That would be 300X more fatal than H1N1.

However, if we ever get a handle on the number of infections, nCOV could be a lot lower. The big bugaboo right now is that we seem to have a lot of people running around as asymptomatic carriers. They infect a lot of the people they touch and they don't even know they've got it. If that number is huge, then the fatality rate "could" be a lot lower. The people who study this seem to think we're going to end up in the 1-2 percent range for nCOV, but no one really knows. If the number ends up being closer to 1%, it would still be 50X worse than H1N1.


bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

On 3/10/2020 6:08 PM, Mark - Myakka Technologies wrote:
I'll be the first to admit my memory isn't the best.  But we have been down this road before.  I do recall H1N1 as a distant memory.  So, I googled it to jog my memory.  H1N1 happen in 2009. When all was said and done per the CDC "From April 12, 2009 to April 10, 2010, CDC estimated there were 60.8 million cases (range: 43.3-89.3 million), 274,304 hospitalizations (range: 195,086-402,719), and 12,469 deaths (range: 8868-18,306) in the United States due to the (H1N1)pdm09 virus."

Some observations between then and now

1. I don't recall wide spread panic.  I'm I just not remembering the run on toilet paper, cleaners, H2O, etc.  I'm sure there were some functions cancelled and sporadic school closures, but did schools like Harvard cancel classes?

2. Social media wasn't a big thing back then.  Didn't have 10's of thousands of social media experts telling us what to think.

3. Politics.  H1N1 happened right after Obama was elected.  Right or left leading, you have to admit he was still in his honeymoon period.  He could do no wrong.  Press was VERY much on his side.  Hell, he even got a Nobel Peace prize in 2009.  Compare that to now.  Election year.  Press hates the current president.  Economy needs to be destroyed.


How did we survive back then?  CDC reports over 350,000 people world wide died due to H1N1.  Is this virus that much worst than H1N1?


https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/2009-h1n1-pandemic.html
 


--
Best regards,
Mark                            
mailto:m...@mailmt.com

Myakka Technologies, Inc.
www.Myakka.com

------

Tuesday, March 10, 2020, 7:32:33 PM, you wrote:


If you figure out a solution to the belief that beliefs trump facts, please let all of us know so we can help apply the fix.



On Tue, Mar 10, 2020 at 9:36 AM Ken Hohhof <
af...@kwisp.com> wrote:

If you know someone who doesn’t understand why canceled events and self-quarantines save lives, here’s a good explainer, with all facts and no politics:
https://www.vox.com/2020/3/10/21171481/coronavirus-us-cases-quarantine-cancellation

(yes, I know some people think facts are political, but I don’t have an answer to that)

From: AF <
af-boun...@af.afmug.com> On Behalf Of Jaime Solorza
Sent: Monday, March 9, 2020 7:26 PM
To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <
af@af.afmug.com>
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT Virus

You are much kinder...I call the top politicians on this response completely inept.  You can't frickin tweet this away.

On Mon, Mar 9, 2020, 5:46 PM Ken Hohhof <
af...@kwisp.com> wrote:

I just watched the news conference on the TV.
IMHO, VP Pence and the medical experts did a decent job, except when Pence had to engage in ritual sucking up to his boss.
But it seems like the adults are mostly in charge and hopefully will do the right things going forward regarding the virus response.
It doesn’t seem like Pence is throwing roadblocks in the way of the experts or censoring them for political gain.
The first few weeks, I don’t think that was true.
As far as efforts to boost the stock market, well, good luck with that.
Note sure a payroll tax cut will help people who get furloughed, or gig workers who can’t work.
Best thing for the stock market is probably an effective plan for virus mitigation and control.


From: AF <
af-boun...@af.afmug.com> On Behalf Of Robert
Sent: Monday, March 9, 2020 6:23 PM
To:
af@af.afmug.com
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT Virus

tl:dr,  WHO did a pretty good job characterizing it in China...


https://www.reddit.com/r/China_Flu/comments/fbt49e/the_who_sent_25_international_experts_to_china/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=mweb&fbclid=IwAR200tfVJTj399ew-ebr4m9hNnrJ4XUt37ga6b-lPQyRsbIWndMS3PMMjsw&_branch_match_id=745183492132993440
On 3/9/20 2:48 PM, James Howard wrote:

That’s why we need a one world government.  Efficiency should be able to be improved to the point they can engineer a new pandemic every 6 months then.

From: AF [
mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com] On Behalf Of Steve Jones
Sent: Monday, March 9, 2020 3:02 PM
To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group
<af@af.afmug.com>
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT Virus

I dont think you read my statement. The reason we have some new "pandemic" every 2 or so years is thats about how long it takes for the government to engineer the new virus

On Mon, Mar 9, 2020 at 2:55 PM Bill Prince <
part15...@gmail.com> wrote:

I'm not. Anthony Fauci stated that they can get a vaccine prototyped in a few months, but it would take at least a year, and maybe up to two before it could be administered to the general public. By that time, we will be on the great-great-great (insert however many greats you would like) grandchildren of the current coronavirus.
bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

On 3/9/2020 12:40 PM, Steve Jones wrote:

Guys, youre way over estimating the speed at which the government is able to engineer new variants of each virus

On Mon, Mar 9, 2020 at 2:40 PM Bill Prince <
part15...@gmail.com> wrote:

That's different from the information I had been given. I'd heard the issue with the coronavirus is that it mutates very rapidly, so that a vaccine for today's coronavirus will be obsolete after the next mutation or two. One of the reasons the common cold still has not got a vaccine; too many targets.

bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

On 3/9/2020 12:12 PM, Ken Hohhof wrote:

I was just reading that with coronaviruses, unlike rhinoviruses, immunity only lasts 1-2 years and that with the “common cold” people get the same strain again sometimes within a year.

So assuming they develop a vaccine, I guess we’ll have to get our “flu shots” every year in the future.

From: AF
<af-boun...@af.afmug.com> On Behalf Of ch...@wbmfg.com
Sent: Monday, March 9, 2020 1:28 PM
To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group
<af@af.afmug.com>
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT Virus

She has built a nuclear weapon, or is studying Sanskrit or has converted to Hinduism.  
Knowing you, I would bet on the first one.

From: Steve Jones
Sent: Monday, March 9, 2020 10:52 AM
To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT Virus

My 11yr old daughter has been having the mild symptoms for 2 months now, i bet shes a carrier since all the other tests, even mono came back negative... she may even be patient zero. Last night she came to me and said "Daddy, I love you, but I am become death, destroyer of worlds" I dont know what that means, but im taking her lab down tonite

On Mon, Mar 9, 2020 at 11:45 AM <
ch...@wbmfg.com> wrote:

I doubt most would think to go get a test if they had the mild symptoms that I have been reading about.  

From: Mark - Myakka Technologies
Sent: Monday, March 9, 2020 10:36 AM
To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT Virus

Testing should ramp up.  CDC test kits are not the only test in town.  As of today both Labcorp and Qwest Diagnostics have their own testing capabilities.  This means any doctor can now do a swab and send it off to either of these labs just like any other test they do.  There should be no reason for no testing now.

https://newsroom.questdiagnostics.com/2020-03-05-Quest-Diagnostics-to-Launch-Coronavirus-Disease-2019-COVID-19-Test

https://www.labcorp.com/information-labcorp-about-coronavirus-disease-2019-covid-19


--
Best regards,
Mark                            
mailto:m...@mailmt.com

Myakka Technologies, Inc.
www.Myakka.com

------

Monday, March 9, 2020, 12:24:15 PM, you wrote:

There has not really been any testing at all in the US. Total tests to date in the US is fewer than 5000. By contrast South Korea is doing 10,000 per day. The test kits are only starting to be distributed in the US. They might have substantial numbers of kits sometime next week.

bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

On 3/9/2020 9:12 AM, Steve Jones wrote:

10

There has been no confirmation outside the media conjecture that asymptomatic people can spread it. Im curious, and too lazy to look, what type of testing was done on them, was it a nasal swab, or a blood test. A nasal swab just indicates exposure. Remember the DOG INFECTED WITH CORONA VIRUS!!! headline a couple weeks ago? Yeah, it died down when it was pointed out that the dog didnt test positive, the dog never had it, it was just present in the swab as an environmental contaminate. If a swab of a door handle shows it present, we dont say the door handle has it, because it doesnt, its simply on the door handle

On Mon, Mar 9, 2020 at 10:17 AM Mathew Howard <
mhoward...@gmail.com> wrote:

I read that half of the people on the Diamond Princess cruise ship that tested positive for the virus didn't have symptoms... if that's true, and those people are able to spread it, there are almost certainly a LOT of people running around with it. That also means that the death rate is probably way, way lower than we've been made to believe.

On Mon, Mar 9, 2020 at 10:13 AM Steve Jones <
thatoneguyst...@gmail.com> wrote:

Id agree there, of the 1000 probably 250 didnt even know they were sick, of that remaining 750 probably 650 thought they had the flu or a cold. of the remaining 100, most of them were elderly or otherwise infirm and standard outcomes would apply. In the mean time, in that area probably 10,000 people got the flu, and 100 of them died

On Mon, Mar 9, 2020 at 10:01 AM Bill Prince <
part15...@gmail.com> wrote:

Interesting tidbit from the NYT this morning:

Adam Kucharski, who studies the math behind outbreaks for the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, recently talked to The Times about how people should look at the coronavirus data.
One signal Dr. Kucharski looks for is when the first case in an area is a death: “That suggests you had a lot of community transmission already,” he said.
“Suppose the fatality rate for cases is about 1 percent, which is plausible,” he explained. “If you’ve got a death, then that person probably became ill about three weeks ago. That means you probably had about 100 cases three weeks ago, in reality.”
“In that subsequent three weeks,” he added, “that number could well have doubled, then doubled, then doubled again. So you’re currently looking at 500 cases, maybe 1,000 cases.”
My corollary on the above is that if we have that many cases in a community, then a lot of people are running around with no clue that they have been infected.
bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>


On 3/9/2020 6:16 AM, Ken Hohhof wrote:

We have moved from containment to community mitigation, where the goal is to flatten the curve and avoid overloading the healthcare system, and wait for a vaccine (no, not imminent).  Messaging has not quite caught up with this reality, but if you listen to Dr. Anthony Fauci you can figure it out.

Those of you going to WISPAmerica, stay safe.  Wash your hands, and use the hand sanitizer that I assume will be everywhere.  Maybe take a thermometer.

And Steve, I’m shocked, shocked to hear that your town has Amtrak.  Didn’t you just get indoor plumbing last year?


From: AF
mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.comOn Behalf Of Steve Jones
Sent: Monday, March 9, 2020 7:40 AM
To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group
mailto:af@af.afmug.com
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT Virus

Well, my worst nightmare has hit. Turns out a lady from here in town was in the car behind this lady and we "exposed"
So that equates to "its here in town now"
I already talked to the OB about this. The wifes having the baby cut from her gut on the 18th which has a 3 day recovery in thos hospital. In the mean time everybody and their brother is going to be comimg out to the hospital because theyre certain they have the deaths. Theyre bringing every germ known to man into one place. Hospitals are already infection centers, dirty filthy cesspools of disease.
The baby technically only has to be there 24 hours, and im taking it home. Wifes on her own at the death center. Herpes will be riding bareback on cold viruses after inbreeding with mersa and riding through a puddle of c. Diff.

On Mon, Mar 9, 2020, 6:46 AM Forrest Christian (List Account) <
li...@packetflux.com> wrote:

Let me see If I can agree with what I think you're saying:

1) Currently we're pre-selecting for people who are in a hospital with something looking like nCov and which got tested.   We don't currently know how many people have it but didn't get tested and as such isn't counted as an infected person.   As we improve our testing ability, we'll find more cases which aren't hospitalization (and possible subsequent death) cases, pushing the rate lower.

2) Because we are testing more we'll also be able to tell that some of the cases that we aren't attributing to nCov are actually nCov cases, pushing the rate higher.

Does that describe what you're saying?



On Mon, Mar 9, 2020 at 5:09 AM Matt Hoppes <
mattli...@rivervalleyinternet.net> wrote:

More people being tested means two things:

1) the death rate goes way down
2) the death rate goes way up, because we currently have folks dying of pneumonia that wasn’t the flu.

> On Mar 8, 2020, at 11:30 PM, Mark - Myakka Technologies <
m...@mailmt.com> wrote:
>
> I'm  going  to  Disney  World this coming Friday.  Went into town this
> weekend, stopped  by  5-6  stores including lunch out.  I have an
> employee going on a cruise next week.
>
> We have had two confirmed cases in our county.
>
> It is what it is, I'm not going to hide under a rock.  Let's keep this
> in  perspective.   Currently the total infection rate per 1 million in
> the  US  is  1.6.   S. Korea has the highest infection rate at 144 per
> million.   That  infection  rate  not  death rate.  Death rate is even
> lower.
>
> If you are under 50 years old, your death chances are under 0.5%.  
>
> It  is  going to go up.  Now that both Quest Labs and Labcorp are both
> doing  testing,  more  people  will  get  tested.  More people getting
> tested, means more people being counted as a case.
>
> --
> Best regards,
> Mark                            
mailto:m...@mailmt.com
>
> Myakka Technologies, Inc.
>
www.Myakka.com
>
> ------
>
> Sunday, March 8, 2020, 9:51:23 PM, you wrote:
>
> MH> You’re really making light of this serious situation aren’t you?
>
>>> On Mar 8, 2020, at 9:26 PM, Steve Jones <
thatoneguyst...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>
>>> --000000000000216fbc05a061e421
>>> Content-Type: text/plain; charset="UTF-8"
>>>
>>> welp, guys, was nice knowing you. An amtrak train had apparently stopped in
>>> my town with an infected passenger. Thats the end of that. Already took the
>>> family out to the garden and put them down, now I just wait for sweet death.
>>>
>>>> On Fri, Mar 6, 2020 at 3:53 PM James Howard <
ja...@litewire.net> wrote:
>>>>
>>>> Might want to switch to peeing on them to avoid spreading anything.
>>>> According to the news stories droplets of saliva and rubbing your eyes are
>>>> the ways it gets spread.  Urine might give you even more dominance than
>>>> spit anyway.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> *From:* A
>
>
> --
> AF mailing list
>
AF@af.afmug.

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