I just looked into some details concerning the scenario presented in slide
9 of Michael McKubre's recent presentation in Brussels to get a sense of
what might be causing the tritium they were seeing.

The slide summarizes an Arata/Zhang replication.  In their replication,
they saw excess heat and, apparently, primarily tritium.  This is unusual,
because when tritium has been present in many experiments, it has usually
been found only in small amounts, suggesting that it is the result of some
kind of side reaction.  But the slide indicates that they saw 2-5 * 10^15
atoms.  If you consider that 1 W excess heat from the generation of 4He
from d+d (however this happens) will yield on the order of 10^11 atoms, it
is apparent that 10^15 atoms is a lot of tritium.  Presumably the
experiment ran for a while, but nonetheless one gets the impression that
the tritium is more than simply the result of some side reaction, and it
looks like the main daughter in this case.

The possibility of excess heat arising primarily from tritium generation
poses some interesting questions:  What were some candidate exothermic
reactions that might produce the tritium? Is some kind of neutron capture
required to explain the result? What else can be gleaned from the slide?

For the quick analysis that follows, here are relevant details:

   - The experiment involved palladium black and LiOD electrolyte in an
   electrolytic setup.
   - They saw excess heat from LiOD but not LiOH.
   - They saw no 4He.
   - They saw no 3He above what can be expected from the decay of tritium.
   This suggests that the 3He was not a daughter product of whatever reaction
   was causing the heat.
   - The 3He they saw diffused from a source within the hollow cathode,
   which had the palladium black within in it.  I think palladium black is in
   the form of powder.

After looking at a number of reactions, I found only two exothermic
reactions that produce tritium with precursors that would have been present:

   - 6Li + d → t + 5Li + 594 keV
   -
   - 3He + n → p + t + 1.27 MeV

I saw no other reactions involving stable isotopes of H, Li, O, or Pd that
were exothermic, although it is possible the heat was generated by a
reaction I missed or by one involving a different element.  At a minimum it
seems that deuterium was needed, because they saw excess heat with LiOD and
not LiOH.

Assuming for the moment that the reaction was one of these two, neutron
capture cannot be ruled out, but neither is it necessary.  If the 3He
really was a byproduct of tritium decay, then neutron capture would appear
to be unlikely as the primary source of heat in this instance, leaving the
6Li+d reaction.  Another reason the 3He+n reaction seems unlikely as the
primary source of heat is that it does not involve deuterium.

Since 6Li is 7 percent of naturally occurring lithium, the amount of if
that will have been present in the electrolyte is non-negligible.  But it's
not clear that it would make it into the hollow cathode, where the tritium
diffused from; perhaps it was able to enter the cathode through a crack in
a ligation that was used to seal in the palladium black.  Another
possibility is that tritium was generated at the exterior of the cathode
and then migrated through the cathode into the center, where palladium
black was.  In this case the reaction would have been in the electrolyte or
at the interface between the exterior of the cathode and the electrolyte.
If this is what happened, it is not clear what would have been driving the
6Li(d,t)5Li reaction. Perhaps there were d's shooting out into the
electrolyte sufficiently fast for this purpose.  I am not sure what the
cross section for this reaction is, which could tell us how fast the d's
would need to be going.

To summarize some interesting details:

   - The possibility of tritium as the main daughter product giving rise to
   excess heat is unusual and is worth thinking about.
   - It looks like the tritium and excess heat could be arising in this
   case from reactions with the electrolyte that involve lithium and deuterium.
   - Alternatively, neutrons from an unknown source could be causing the
   tritium and excess heat by way of 3He(n,p)t reactions, but if that is the
   case, you would need a way to get neutrons from the presence of LiOD and
   not LiOH, and you would need the presence of 3He prior to that of the
   tritium.
   - If the lithium in the electrolyte is involved, it seems like you would
   need fast particles to keep things going; fast enough, anyway, to make the
   6Li(d,t)5Li reaction a likelihood.

I would be interested in seeing the paper that the slide is based off of.
 Has anyone seen it?

Eric

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