This is good analysis. Our existing community is quite a bit bigger so plenty 
more to be convinced there. But you're right we need to reach a broader 
community. Millions remember HyperCard which is our strongest card (pardon the 
pun).

Question: how good do you think the video really is for those outside the 
community? We were very pleased with it when we launched it but I wonder if we 
are a little close to it and there is more we could do to make it connect 
better? Would be great to get some more objective feedback. 

Sent from my iPhone

On 1 Feb 2013, at 20:39, Ben Rubinstein <benr...@cogapp.com> wrote:

> On 31/01/2013 19:33, Monte Goulding wrote:
>> Dropping back and the funding is coming in too slow.
>> 
>> If you multiply yesterday's pledges by 29 and add the 32002 from the first 
>> day then we are looking at 282,446. Kicktraq still says we are trending 
>> above target but it won't in a few days if we don't pick things up.
> 
> Yep.  Overall, Kickstarter analysis (see Michael Wolf) is that 20%-30% is the 
> tipping point - most projects that fail, fail with less than 20% of their 
> goal; almost all that get past about 30%, succeed.
> 
> But I'm not sure that analysis, or Kicktraq's trends and projections, really 
> apply or help here, because of our unusual situation: there's a certain 
> community that already knows and loves LiveCode, most can be convinced that 
> this would be a good thing, and a certain proportion are prepared to donate 
> to help it happen - and almost all the members of that community are easily 
> reached, and probably already have been.
> 
> So that first heady rush that took it to 10% wasn't really indicative of the 
> same kind of progress as it would if made by some random new bright idea from 
> some new bunch of bright people that hardly anyone's heard of - ie the 
> typical at least tech Kickstarter project.  Rather, that represented the easy 
> bit - tapping the existing community.  I'm not saying that's over - many 
> people are still thinking about it, or still to be convinced, who may yet 
> decide to contribute; and some people who have contributed, may be prepared 
> to contribute more.  I'll expect more emails from Kevin like the one today at 
> regularly intervals over the next month.  But I'd guess a large proportion of 
> the funding that's available from the community has been tapped.
> 
> So now the hard part starts - the remaining 88% or whatever has to be beaten 
> out of the people who've mostly never heard of LiveCode (although some of 
> them have at least heard of HyperCard, and they should be the next softest 
> target).  In many ways the situation more closely resembles starting from 
> zero to raise £305K, than it does being 12% of the way towards £350K.
> 
> So fun though all the Kicktraq graphs, and stacks that go ping* are: what we 
> really need to do be doing is not watching the meter, but getting out on the 
> street and shouting the news.  If you have a following, shouting it to them; 
> and if you know someone with a bigger following, persuading that person to 
> shout it to their following.
> 
> How I wish I had a following.
> 
> Ben
> 
> *although, if the stack that went ping was easily distributable as an example 
> of the power of the language...
> 
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