Thanks for that! Another few interesting pieces to the jigsaw puzzle.

I've been a bit reluctant to enter the performance measurement game around Starlink myself, chiefly because it's a moving target in more than one sense, so essentially you end up producing (nevertheless useful) snapshots. There's the rapid growth in satellite numbers and hence the associated change in Dishy behaviour and improved performance in conditions where Dishy has obstructions to deal with. There's the advent of the ISLs. There's also the fact that we don't know which underlying changes are made by SpaceX in terms of network configuration.

5G is also a moving target in its own right.

Handovers: I think it's important to consider that while your Dishy might not get handed over, others operating via the same satellite might move away and yet others again might join the satellite you're on. So it's not just the potential of you moving away to a satellite that looks different in terms of load, it's also a matter of your satellite's capacity changing during someone else getting handed over to it with cwnd wide open and being allocated fewer slots than before. But, again, as mentioned above, good on SpaceX if they're using some form of AQM to try and manage this.

My most serious concern about Starlink as a system remains the fact that it puts a pipe between the end user and the first network hop (the satellite) that is in principle very difficult to scale: There's only so much extra spectrum one can use, spatial diversity (beamforming) has limited potential, and unlike in cellular networks, you can't really shrink the cell size to accommodate more end users through frequency re-use as your cell size is determined to a good part by orbital altitude. That all but rules out the scaling effects that CDNs have brought to the rest of the Internet, which keep orders of magnitude worth of traffic off long distance cables. There simply isn't an obvious place in LEO topology to put a cache that'll produce a decent number of hits while being able to serve this content to end users through a large collective bandwidth.

The interesting question for me is how much we can scale Starlink and its up-and-coming cousins from the few million users Starlink has now. To 100 million? To 200 million? Half a billion even?

On 27/02/2024 7:12 am, Nitinder Mohan via Starlink wrote:
Hi folks,

Our comprehensive multifaceted measurement study looking at Starlink global and last-mile performance is now available online: https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.09242 <https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.09242>.

TL;DR: See the summary in this nice teaser video we made: https://youtu.be/WtE3MoK8J80 <https://youtu.be/WtE3MoK8J80>

We looked at several third-party measurement sources (M-Lab, RIPE Atlas) and performed our own measurements over multiple Starlink dishes to uncover the following:

1. How different is Starlink network performance globally? How do ground station and PoP availability impact performance?
2. How much latency is consumed by the satellite part of the link?
3. Is Starlink connection affected by bufferbloat?
4. Are satellite handovers the root-cause of Starlink 15-sec reconfigurations? 5. How good is Starlink compared to terrestrial cellular networks for real-time applications, specifically Cloud Gaming and Zoom.

The study has been accepted and will appear in ACM The Web Conference 2024 <https://www2024.thewebconf.org> (WWW), which is a flagship venue that has historically housed several pioneering works central to Internet success.

Feel free to let me know if you have any questions related to the work.

P.S. We also thanked this mailing list in our paper for providing us several key insights and inquisitive discussions :)

Thanks and Regards

Nitinder Mohan
Technical University Munich (TUM)
https://www.nitindermohan.com/ <https://www.nitindermohan.com/>

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