RE: [NMusers] Using sparse data to develop Population PK model for pediatrics

2015-06-08 Thread Jacob Brogren
Dear Daping, In order to provide more than just general comments it would be useful to get some more information. - What is the purpose of developing the PopPK model? - What is the medical condition/disease? - What is the relation between plasma concentration and cl

[NMusers] Fwd: Should we generate VPCs with or without uncertainty?

2015-06-08 Thread Matts Kågedal
Hi all, Creation of VPCs is a way to assess if simulated data generated by the model is compatible with observed data. VPCs are usually based on parameter point estimates of the model. Sometimes parameter uncertainty is also accounted for in the generation of VPCs (PPCs) where each simulated repli

Re: [NMusers] Fwd: Should we generate VPCs with or without uncertainty?

2015-06-08 Thread Devin Pastoor
Matts, The way I see the CI's around the point estimates provided in the VPC can help provide a useful indication of model robustness, especially in regards to the impact of random effects components, in that portion of your model. Especially for heterogeneous data (or even all rich data for that

RE: [NMusers] Fwd: Should we generate VPCs with or without uncertainty?

2015-06-08 Thread Stefano Zamuner
Hi Devin and Matts, Of interest, we had similar internal discussion within our department about this topic quite recently. I would agree with Devin that it is preferable to include parameters uncertainty in a VPC, especially if they are used for relevant decision making. It may result on large

RE: [NMusers] Fwd: Should we generate VPCs with or without uncertainty?

2015-06-08 Thread Mats Karlsson
Dear Matts, For assessing model adequacy, I would use the point estimates. If your best model is contradicted by the data by showing a poor VPC, there seems little meaning in trying to include uncertainty. There could be a role for VPCs with uncertainty though. If you plan to perform simulation

RE: [NMusers] Fwd: Should we generate VPCs with or without uncertainty?

2015-06-08 Thread Ken Kowalski
Hi All, I have done it both ways (with and without including parameter uncertainty). It is important to note that the resulting VPC intervals are degenerate when you don’t take into account parameter uncertainty. That is, with infinite sample size these intervals will collapse to the p

Re: [NMusers] Using sparse data to develop Population PK model for pediatrics

2015-06-08 Thread DAPING ZHANG
Dear Jacob, Thanks a lot for your comments. I am also very appreciated the reference you sent to me. Regarding to your questions, the purpose of this study was to explain the PK variability of an immunosuppresant drug in pediatric population post hematopoietic stem cell transplantation. The age r