https://changelog.com/posts/why-do-so-many-developers-get-dry-wrong
> Once you eeked out enough XP to reach Level 2, condensing that copy pasta
> down felt amazing. Suddenly your code looked more impressive. Efficient!
> Clean! Simple! This is like the lowest common form of refactoring. But it
Hm. But you can't deny that we're all stupid at some time, in some context, for
some isolated decision. The point is that a slight deviation is "yet another
episode of my stupidity", whereas a large deviation implies a different basis
... like the garbage poetry I wrote as a kid. It's so stupid,
https://www.humblebundle.com/books/stem-books
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is string.
> Has
> anybody read it?
Not yet. But I _highly_ his other one: "Fooled by Randomness". If
"Black Swan" is as good, then it's definitely worth reading.
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-219-3846, http://tempusdictum.com
==
#x27;ve asked in this immediately preceding
paragraph.
The question is which measures does one use to detect aperiodic behavior
in a physical system?
The answer to that question will be completely dependent on the physical
system being studied, of course. But it's not a new or rarely asked
qu
purpose.
Nick's Posting Criteria a, b, c, and d are satisfied, I think.
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merely shooting from the hip and listening to their gut. You gotta
give them that much credit.
We may not avert crises; but, we might soften them considerably.
NPC: a, b, and d are satisfied. (c) might be a stretch. [grin]
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-219-
kage that
funded 4.66.. million agent-based modelers for a year at a salary of
$100k/yr. Or 466k modelers for a decade. ... that is, if they were
members of a small business and not, say, SAIC. [grin]
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-219-3846, http://tempusdictum.com
=
en don't
follow up on it? Why do people just get all heated up about stuff and
then later don't give enough of a crap to spend some serious alone-time
working on it?
How can we encourage the people around us to think critically...
continually critically? ... even if/when doing so
Thus spake Marcus G. Daniels circa 10/05/2008 12:07 PM:
> glen e. p. ropella wrote:
>> Thus spake Douglas Roberts circa 10/05/2008 11:07 AM:
>>
>>> You want to talk about willful ignorance? Take a good look around you.
>>>
>>
>> Exactly. The tr
]
Sundays aren't my best days for generating empty rhetoric. Sorry. I'm
off for a pint at the pub.
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Congress, and the
courts. Surely there exists some (by now, half-insane) systems theory
people out there who've been ranting about this sort of accumulation, eh?
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FRIA
$700b bailout), do we spend any time
analyzing it to see its effect on lower levels of government or
synthesizing it up to higher levels (UN?)?
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th a decay appropriate to the
office being bought? Pay for a 4 year position with 4-year money. Pay
for a lifetime judgeship with 75-year money. Pay for mineral rights
with 1000-year money.
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-219-3846, http://tempusdictum.com
==
c. But
I wonder how different (or how much worse) it could be than what we have
now? It may even result in a "brain drain" where all the people at risk
for being drafted move to Canada or something to avoid being forced to
play President. ;-)
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-219-3846, h
es from the region?
But I certainly would not recommend drafting a person born, reared, and
living in Milwaukie to make decisions about Los Angeles' septic system,
because that increases the chances that "externalities" will be ignored
(because the decision maker is out of context
27;re doing now (though we could do it
better). But it doesn't handle the externalities that can be handled by
ensuring every decision-maker is embedded in the context of those
decisions. ... i.e. local government... i.e. "eat your own dog food".
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-219-3846,
Thus spake Marcus G. Daniels circa 10/06/2008 04:33 PM:
> glen e. p. ropella wrote:
>> This abstraction
>> away from the fully embedded _human_ to idealistic "skill sets" is the
>> problem. It's what leads us to hire "experts" and then remove them
_thought_
in general but not math in particular) using his banal observation that
math is a human invention just like Monopoly or Chess.
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reat_ demonstration of Wittgenstein's
beef with platonic mathematicians. All they're doing is playing around
with symbols. It's not science. It's symbol manipulation. There is no
discovery in the same sense that scientists mean. It is invention.
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-219-384
and outsource code shops.
In contrast, if your "skin is in it", then you tend to be a bit more
pessimistic (and conservative) with what you promise.
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glen e. p. ropella, 971-219-3846, http://tempusdictum.com
FRIAM Applied C
complete), then it is either true or false. But just
because a statement is true doesn't mean it's sound ... i.e. backed up
by data taken from reality.
--
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FRIAM Applied C
uniqueness of a particular
shape given those constraints. But such an analogy would be even weaker
and wouldn't help explain Wittgenstein's position, I don't think.
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-219-3846, http://tempusdictum.com
==
Thus spake Phil Henshaw circa 10/09/2008 04:48 AM:
> Right, but totally inconsistent with your first statement "just hire an
> expert".
You must be confusing me with someone else. I've been arguing _against_
"just hire an expert" the whole time.
--
glen e.
of
their own voice.
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be our species, may be determined
by the next five generations. So I don't really give a shit what's
happening to our genetic evolution." -- Paul Ehrlich
--
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FRIAM
g capacity is increased, the whole
> population can expand, but this does not stop selection. It may
> change the nature of selection from tracking how well individuals can
> make use of limited resources to how fast they can reproduce when
> times are flush, but there is no reason to
e of:
Thus spake peter circa 10/01/2008 09:50 AM:
> Sure I will dig out some names ...
> [...]
>
> glen e. p. ropella wrote:
>> But can you help me reduce my ignorance? Which "complexity science
>> geniuses" created these credit models? And which ones do you thi
attention. If any of you
have done this, I'd appreciate any pointers to make the work easier.
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Thus spake peter circa 10/18/2008 07:26 PM:
> glen e. p. ropella wrote:
>> Peter? Did you ever get a chance to dig up some names of these
>> "complexity science geniuses"?
>>
>
> Lets see how accurate these names are and when they get their subpoenas
>
he peak oil issue from the global climate
change issue and focus solely on peak oil and the origins of oil... for
now, anyway.)
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Meet
ems, in order to make our political decisions?
What is it about dichotomy (usually false) that helps us cognitively?
... especially to make the transition from thought to action?
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://tempusdictum.com
lly rewrite the law with
later that may, in fact, provide true open primaries.
Gee, what's an average moron like me supposed to do, here? Do I vote
for it or not? In the end, I resorted to my old tactic of not voting
for things I don't understand, especially one's that amend constitu
Are there any generic (abstracted) properties of circumstances where
habit is clearly best ... or where in-depth analysis is clearly best?
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Thus spake Douglas Roberts circa 10/31/2008 05:15 PM:
> It is if you are my shill, sitting out there in the audience amongst all the
> rubes.
I live to serve!
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://tempusdictum.com
and; but neither can be a wife.
Personally, I think marriage is an obsolete concept. We should
completely separate legal contracts from religious ceremonies and purge
"marriage" from the law entirely. It should be in the exact same
category as baptism.
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095
nate the concept of "marriage" completely, for
everyone. This would include legalizing poly[gamy|andry]. If 2, 3, or
N people want to enter into a contract that involves household assets
and medical power of attorney, then so be it. But leave your religion
at the threshold of the courthou
it's evidence that people are seeking
better, more expressive language with which to express the human
condition. It is progressive.
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://tempusdictum.com
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group
Thus spake Saul Caganoff circa 11/20/2008 04:01 PM:
> Hmmm c/c++ into actionscript.
>
> Is this gold into lead or lead into gold?
Prolly more like turkeys into chickens.
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://tempusd
g CopyNo mouseover?
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is robust. E.g. a long
sought after datum validating some old, accepted, but not yet validated
theory.
The problem is that this latter sense of robustness includes false memes
that take hold and persist despite being proved false or overly
simplistic. So a vigorously robust belief
I thought, perhaps the SfComplex might be interested:
http://www.kent.ac.uk/secl/philosophy/jw/reasoning/club/
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glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets
on
> Ruby/irb
> Javascript (i.e. a command-line version like Rhino)
> Groovy
> BeanShell/PNuts (java interpreters with nifty add on features)
> .. suggestions?
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com
erent
languages. I'd rather keep a rich tech stack than spend time rewriting
everything from scratch just so I can have it in a particular language.
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com
FRIAM Applied C
fer to junk the old stuff and buy brand new stuff (usually
made in China).
The hip and trendy fads are great for preoccupying the teenager's (or
politician's) mind; but for any serious work, one should consider as
much historical context as possible in order to make wise decisions in
the
something overly jargonal
or complicated.
Of course, most snarky (sarcastic, sardonic, or ironic) expositions are
not purposeful attempts at obfuscation. ("Never ascribe malice where
incompetence will suffice.") On the other hand, many are.
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-bas
hat when the Trickster is, himself, tricked, it may take
some time for the realization to land. Not that I know anything about
that, mind you ... I'm just yapping ... [grin]
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com
s will always
assume some context. And the prominence of that (class of) pattern(s)
will go away if that assumption changes.
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ies (1-3) above, then come up with some others. You can also
replace "useful" with "common".) I suspect when/if we got to a
classification granularity of 5-9 (possibly falsely) distinct methods,
we can begin to assert where each method is _most_ useful.
And where a method i
ontext dependent classification, we can
delegate work to the drones we have at our disposal. (BTW, "drone" is a
role, not type. Brilliant people can act as drones just by acting
outside their field of expertise.)
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(primarily) of agents. (However one may define "agent".)
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es
(like entrepreneurship, art, scientific speculation) vs. the more
inferential/reasoned activities (like accounting, manufacturing,
falsification), and those people proficient in one but not the other.
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com
==
than concepts in math
will fail because they are both part of the same thing. The concepts
are Yin and the symbols are Yang.
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Thus spake Russ Abbott circa 12/01/09 07:58 PM:
> On Mon, Jan 12, 2009 at 5:14 PM, glen e. p. ropella <
> g...@agent-based-modeling.com> wrote:
>> I disagree. I think the emphasis on concepts is a peculiar form of
>> anthropocentrism (or, at worst, narcissism ;-).
ks loaded
with some pretty weird Eddington-typewriter sort of text presumably
analyzing (other people's) art. I don't understand any of it; but at
least from a superficial level, it looks a _lot_ like what we see
here and I wouldn't have it any other way!
--
glen e. p. ropella
on
you choose is determined by what you intend to do with the machine.
For myself, I tend to play around with my desktops a lot but leave my
laptops alone. So, for my desktop, I choose Debian. For my laptops, I
choose Ubuntu.
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeli
ng the methods?
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s) have representation in high
impact journals with strong peer review. I'm sure there are
sociologists examining such processes. If I knew what to ask for, I'd
be asking for that research instead. [grin]
Chip: Thanks for the specif
ct, I'd probably argue that bias (both personal and collective) in
hiring is a good thing. It's probably good in all human activity,
perhaps even science. But it's in science where we most often claim to
be rational.
In any case, I'd like to be able to discuss these topics in th
on your past interests,
more elastic where clusters of articles cover much of the same content,
coefficients of friction were adjusted based on which region of rating
space you were exploring at the time, colors (of the articles) change
when your focus shifts from fact to speculation or physics to
p
actually _doing_
something?!? Umm ... ok ... perhaps I'm in the wrong place... [patting
pockets, grabbing jacket, retreating from the room] ;-)
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com
FRIAM Applie
But we've seen that
natural systems don't succumb as easily to solutions built with
linearized methods, which is why "agile methods" are so popular these days.
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com
==
indicator for linear thinking is the degree
of conviction to some assertion. [grin] E.g. if someone tells you that
language ABC is the best language for XYZ, then they're most likely a
(naive) linear thinker and prize abstraction over concreteness.
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, ht
Thus spake Prof David West circa 16/02/09 05:47 PM:
> Thus spake glen e. p. ropella circa 16/02/09 16:02 PM
>
>> The next trick is to transition ... to more
>> formal, repeatable, and communicable processes.
>
> There are no such things.
Yes, there are. But you may no
27;m
trying to represent. _Whatever_ languages they happen to be. Why?
Because the objective is to actually get the work done, not pontificate
on or wring my hands in subservience to "What One Should Do" ... like
some 10 commandments of the Software God.
It sounds li
dents @ $25 per student.
http://tempusdictum.com/tdproducts.html
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lecture
beer or positive freedoms). Like proprietary
software, the costs and benefits exist, they are just in different
places and require attention at different times.
If the above discussion is irrelevant to what you intended, then pleas
we will be surprised, sit back, and wonder
why we were so enamored with it before... and many of us will even poke
fun of and deride those people who still find it useful.
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com
=
hen the network
collapses to a single node and we freeze in order. But with the right
balance of homo- and hetero-geneous attention, we can manipulate the
universe in appreciable ways.
At the end of the day, a good maxim is the ancient aphorism: "Know ten
things, say nine."
--
glen e. p
too
vague to warrant comment.
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philosophical, linguistic, or computational
phenomena attacked on the grounds that they conflict with one of the
basic axioms of mathematics. But both assumptions are mistaken and the
attack is groundless."
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com
=
). And I believe it can be proven that the AFA means that every
system of equations has a unique solution. (If we assume the foundation
axiom instead, as in the "usual" math, that's not true.)
But the AFA can be stated as: a set can contain itself as its only
element, which is the
Anyone know of a good linux/foss package for reading FASTA data files
and rendering trees?
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gher
level abstraction?
I was thinking someone did something like this with TranSims at one
point; but I can't find anything.
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t; http://atgc.lirmm.fr/phyml/
>
> PhyML isn't strictly speaking open source, but it's free.
>
> To actually draw a picture, an easy to use package is FigTree
> http://tree.bio.ed.ac.uk/software/figtree/
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.
sible reasoning
(even ranting about syllogism is welcome ;-)?
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d even if the same trait can be achieved
with multiple mechanisms, we still say the individuals exhibit the
_same_ trait?
Thanks for any clues and don't ridicule me too much ... I'm
sensitive. [grin]
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com
===
to explain why it would be incorrect are a)
equivocations on the words "trait" or "possess", b) specifics about the
_timing_ of evolutionary relevant mutation, or c) an assertion that
crossover is the salient operator not mutation.
> On Fri, Jun 12, 2009 at 4:09 PM, gle
its the parents don't have. Hence, offspring
must always get all their traits from their parents. And that implies
(to me) that no new traits will ever arise. So, either the authors
statement is too vague or wrong, or I am missing something fundamental.
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095,
rid of these two
extremes. So, to answer your question as directly as possible,
roboteers do NOT provide the robots with their "knowledge". The
roboteers construct a machine, that's all. If there is any knowledge in
a robot, it will remain a mystery to the roboteer until the robots are
unethical or immoral is guilty of not paying attention to, and
acting in discordance to, the state of his own body. He who is ethical
and moral pays close attention to, and acts according to, the state of
his own body. He who is amoral ignores the state of his body.
basic value to be as clear as possible as much as
> possible and to be clear that one is not being clear when that is the
> case. Having written that I can think of situations (e.g., negotiations)
> when a dollop of ambiguity helps. But I think that's a different situation.
--
gl
le as much as possible. Feynman famously said "Science is
>what we have learned about how not to fool ourselves about the way the world
>is. " Are you really objecting to that as a goal? (It certainly won't work
>as a software development strategy!) I would have thought that thi
Thus spake Steve Smith circa 06/22/2009 08:57 PM:
> glen e. p. ropella uttered/spake/emitted/gurgitated:
>> A mandated method to be clear as possible as much as possible would be
>> just as effective and efficient as a mandate to be as vague as possible
>> as much as poss
t always end up
equivocating on the word "best"!) So, I'd have the same criticism if
someone fixated on the conviction that riddles are the only or best way
to communicate.
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com
=
are
talking about the objective grounding of the symbols in that context,
i.e. reality or truth, which is only approachable through transpersonal
interpretation.
That's my $0.02 anyway.
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com
==
o
manipulate them into thinking the way you want them to be thinking.
Hence, I regard "emergence" as a purely manipulative term... a bit of
rhetorical trickery intended to hypnotize the audience. Like all
buzzwords, it's useful in some circumstances. So, it's not futile a
organization instead of using the magical term "emergence"?
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ent properties. Honestly, I
can't think of any.
> -Original Message-
>> From: "glen e. p. ropella"
>>
>> [...]
>>
>> But, as Yudkowsky said in that post that Jochen forwarded, isn't
>> this true of _everything_? Can you name an
Thus spake russell standish circa 07/08/2009 05:33 PM:
> On Wed, Jul 08, 2009 at 10:16:55AM -0700, glen e. p. ropella wrote:
>> Well, since my post consisted of questions, I could hardly be wrong. ;-)
>>
>> The question was: Is there any identifiable property of a system that
a trivial (but not entirely useless) word except in the
sense of emergency: "A serious situation or occurrence that happens
unexpectedly and demands immediate action", which boils down to "poorly
understood" or, at least,
x27;t be applied to the
component, only to the system containing the component, which is true in
all non-trivial situations), then the characteristics are still
"emergent", even though we reasonably and abstractly reduce the
nce those breakthroughs
come, they congeal into a mathematics that is then adopted by an army
consisting of a different, more fastidious, type of philosopher. The
trail blazers move on to the next wild frontier while the "settlers"
move in and bring mind-numbing order to the regi
but unless it were about concrete things, particular systems, particular
methods for measuring those systems, then I don't think its of much use.
If you chose a family of systems (perhaps your statics example of
triangular trusses) and a family of measures (perhaps robustness to
harmonic oscill
tics
(because of the way they're measured). But if nonlinear == emergent,
then what's the point of the less well-defined term "emergent"?
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the world.
OK. That last paragraph proves that I should shut up for awhile. [grin]
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n't tend to
keep track of where I learned something, who said it, why they said it,
where it's successful and where it fails, etc., I'm very fragile to
changes in context. It's funny. I'll say almost the exact
omplex, is to define/test methods for engaging in constructive
philosophy. For example, a mandate might be that all these discussions
must result in an artifact, be it a wiki page, a simulation, or just an
influence graph showing, say, how Zeno contributed to
lems; but without the ability to replicate the entire
toolchain all the way down through the OS, our transition from cluster
to cloud would have to wait for a scientific and development punctuation
point... which almost never happens. ;-)
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not a diff eq system?
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glen e. p. ropella, 971-222-9095, http://agent-based-modeling.com
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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