Re: [FRIAM] Back at the ranch, I'm enjoying the popcorn.

2025-03-03 Thread steve smith
Friday afternoon the simple term "WWIII" took on a whole new understanding/context for me. Before that it was some variation on a nuclear exchange between any 2-3 of the major nuclear powers (US/USSR/China) which was held at bay mostly by variations on MAD.   Not only did the possibility of re

Re: [FRIAM] Back at the ranch, I'm enjoying the popcorn.

2025-03-03 Thread Marcus Daniels
1. NATO creates a no-fly zone over Ukraine, and destroys any Russian asset in Ukraine 2. The Ukranians continue to develop their drone programs for targeted attacks in Russia 3. Europe gives them long-range weapons, Storm Shadow and Taurus for larger targets Biden should have

Re: [FRIAM] Back at the ranch, I'm enjoying the popcorn.

2025-03-03 Thread Pieter Steenekamp
A Case For and Against Trump in the Context of Ukraine The Case Against Trump Russia invaded Ukraine, and Ukraine has been fighting back heroically for three years. It is crucial to take decisive action against countries that invade others unprovoked. A good example is the First Gulf War, when Ira

Re: [FRIAM] WaPo

2025-03-03 Thread steve smith
Anyway, this news is Good News to me: https://www.npr.org/2025/02/28/nx-s1-5312819/washington-post-bezos-subscriptions-cancellations And this news is also good: https://www.niemanlab.org/2025/03/a-new-nonprofit-wants-to-be-a-soft-and-sustainable-landing-spot-for-local-news-outlets-in-tran

[FRIAM] DeepSeek, there's bs, and then there's bs

2025-03-03 Thread Roger Critchlow
https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/03/03/1112604/deepseek-fortune-teller-china/ -- rec -- .- .-.. .-.. / ..-. --- --- - . .-. ... / .- .-. . / .-- .-. --- -. --. / ... --- -- . / .- .-. . / ..- ... . ..-. ..- .-.. FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv Fridays 9a-12p Friday St. Johns Cafe /

[FRIAM] WaPo

2025-03-03 Thread glen
I stopped clicking on Twitter links a long time ago. Facebook is more difficult because so many people use it as a website/blog. But I don't think I've clicked on a Facebook link in 6 months or so. WaPo is even harder. I clicked on a link Marcus sent to the list just recently ... and immediatel

Re: [FRIAM] Back at the ranch, I'm enjoying the popcorn.

2025-03-03 Thread Tom Johnson
So as usual: Follow the Money. If Trump gets a deal with Ukraine on those rare earth minerals, upon leaving Ukraine, where does that ore go and to whom? My bet is to some company(ies) that Trump et al. have interests in. TJ On Mon, Mar 3, 2025 at 12:33 PM Santafe wrote: > It’s such an encapsula

Re: [FRIAM] Back at the ranch, I'm enjoying the popcorn.

2025-03-03 Thread Marcus Daniels
Eric writes: < There are people like Fareed Zakaria who think that trump can be somehow managed by a canny player. That doesn’t ring correct to me, unless the player has a lot of power and money, and it is the power and money that are managing trump. > I’m not a fan of FZ. He reminds me a b

Re: [FRIAM] Back at the ranch, I'm enjoying the popcorn.

2025-03-03 Thread Santafe
It’s such an encapsulation of that part of the society (including t and v) to think that they could “humiliate” Zelenskyy. By insisting, in a conversation with toxic scum, on the relevance of reality, he was about the only clean thing in the room that could be heard. There are people like Fare

Re: [FRIAM] Back at the ranch, I'm enjoying the popcorn.

2025-03-03 Thread Marcus Daniels
Was fine with that kind of work, until the last thing I saw walking into the vault was that portrait of DJT. And colleagues that I thought were sort of normal were laughing about what they heard on Fox News. Then I realized there was no point in it, and it was time for a better paying job. Fr

Re: [FRIAM] Back at the ranch, I'm enjoying the popcorn.

2025-03-03 Thread glen
I'm so torn. At the moment, I'm surrounded by those who think political violence is unjust[ified]. But it feels like typical [neo]liberal posturing. The reason they think such things is because they're (relatively) safe, eating popcorn, watching the world burn. Every Friday, we have a group of

Re: [FRIAM] Back at the ranch, I'm enjoying the popcorn.

2025-03-03 Thread steve smith
It's way too generous to say "Trump has a case". Trump and Vance's "case" consists of "You should be grateful to us because we give you money". I.e. suck up to me and I'll deign to give you more money. I don't think Trump or Vance have backed any significant support for Ukraine.   The US peopl

Re: [FRIAM] Back at the ranch, I'm enjoying the popcorn.

2025-03-03 Thread steve smith
I do suppose they serve popcorn at cage-fights. Dog and Cock fighting has been banned in most of the US for many decades, but I think NM turned a blind eye until the 90s? If popcorn had been discovered/invented by the time of the Roman Coliseum Gladitorial spectacles, it was only available in

Re: [FRIAM] From Merle--How to Use Discredited Polling to Boost Trump's Power

2025-03-03 Thread glen
Fantastic. So I continue pressing my colleagues to use some parallax in their modeling. E.g. one group recently used LCA on our data. And they intend to use the same Python package, in the very same way, on some other data. That's great. But what would be better would be to switch it up a bit.

Re: [FRIAM] Back at the ranch, I'm enjoying the popcorn.

2025-03-03 Thread Marcus Daniels
What is the Libertarian view on sponsorship of mercenaries? When presented with the option of tax-deductible donations, or not, I've been opting to support the litigating arm of relevant organizations. Generalizing, it occurs to me that in some countries one can buy citizenship with real estat

Re: [FRIAM] Back at the ranch, I'm enjoying the popcorn.

2025-03-03 Thread glen
It's way too generous to say "Trump has a case". Trump and Vance's "case" consists of "You should be grateful to us because we give you money". I.e. suck up to me and I'll deign to give you more money. Maybe someone makes the case you say is Trump's. But it's not Trump making that case. If he