Well, I'm no mathematician, but I used to watch "Numb3ers"... It would seem on a straight percentage of bikes analysis, given the large number of bicycles and the small percentage of Riv's in the count, the odds would be pretty low. But, you have to factor in the percentage of RBW riders who Go Anywhere (variable 1) and Seek Fun (variable 2). Also, there's a strong tendency for MCRB's tend to stop at the edge of smooth pavement, strongly filtering out those bicycles which cannot use appropriate and versatile tire sizes . That would tend to lead RBW folks to similar locations, and since it's so easy to recognize one another from the bugs in our teeth (due to constant smiling) and the eye-catching color hues of our frames, I'd have to say that your chances of interacting with a Rivendell Rider on a given ride are reasonably high.
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