On Tue, Oct 19, 2010 at 12:04 PM, Beth H <periwinkle...@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
> Here's a little more reality for you:
>
> I spoke with a very knowledgable wholsale rep yesterday who told me
> that we should expect to see all things 8-speed fade away in perhaps
> two to three years. This is because of Mountain 10 drivetrains (10 x 2
> or 10 x 3), which use basically the same components that road 10-speed
> systems do and are therefore easier to mass-produce for big companies
> like SRAM and Shimano. He had spoken with folks at both Shimano and
> SRAM during the Interbike show and apparently they hinted at this
> reality coming down the line. Said rep was told that continued support
> for 8-speed drivetrains was not as profitable because it required
> companies to produce two different kinds of chaincs and cassette cogs.
> Basing both road and mountain drivetrains on a 10-speed system, with
> its narrower chains and thinner cassette cogs, would simplify
> production quicky. (It would also mean more sales, since these parts
> wear out sooner; though the SRAM technician refused to comment on that
> and guy from Shimano would only hint at it in the vaguest language.)
>
> Based on discussions I had two years ago when Shimano stopped making 5-
> speed freewheels and the only remaining choices were Sunrace (ick) and
> IRD (decent, but expensive), I would say that this estimate bears more
> than a shred of truth.
>
> If you like 8-speed, this would be a good time to look for sales.
> Don't forget that you'll want to stock up on 8-speed compatible
> chains, too, since these will eventually fade like cassettes (though
> not quite as quickly).
>
> As for me, I've got a sizable stash of refurbished five- and six-speed
> freewheels that will fit on my Phil hubs...
> Beth "I'm not paranoid, just pragmatic" Hamon
>
> --


I see this as already-pretty-much the case: you can find 8 speed
chains and cassettes which are ok and I expect them to be around for
many years; there are just too many bikes out there with 8 speed
drivetrains, and low-end bikes still ship with new 8 speed Shimano
stuff.

But the bummer is finding good quality 8-speed stuff: shifters and
cassettes mainly.

The XTR cassettes dried up at the LBS's a long time ago. You can still
get them on ebay, but they are pricey. I'm ok with SRAM 8 spd but
they're no XTR.

Shifting is a killer already: good luck finding 8-spd DT shifters or
good STI systems under $100. That's a bummer. I'm all for friction but
for CX or mountain biking with drop bars, I like STI. And I like
indexed DT shifters...

I suppose I'll switch to 9 speeds in a couple years when my current
stock of STI stuff finally blows up for good.


--
John Speare
Spokane, WA USA
http://cyclingspokane.blogspot.com/

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