Somebody said that ARIMA models like discussed above are easy to implement on a 
spreadsheet.
The prediction formula is simply a linear equation that refers to past values 
of original time series and past values of the errors.
Thus, setting up an spreadsheet by stroing the data in one column, the 
forcasting values computed bu the formula in another column, and the 
errors(data minus forcasts) in the third column can give the results just as 
the same as any statistical computing software(like R).
But I just can't, and I think there must be some mistakes in my procedure but 
just can't find it by myself.
Really need helps!
Thanks again!

saji from Shanghai
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