On Sep 20, 2010, at 2:28 PM, Charles C. Berry wrote:

On Mon, 20 Sep 2010, Bert Gunter wrote:

Hi Folks:

**Off Topic**

Those interested in clinical trials may find the following of interest:

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/09/19/health/research/19trial.html

It concerns the ethicality of randomizing those with life-threatening
disease to relatively ineffective SOC when new "biologically targeted" therapies "appear" to be more effective. While the context may be new,
the debate, itself, is not: Tukey wrote (or maybe it was talked -- I
can't remember for sure) about this about 30 years ago. I'm sure many
other also have done so.

Anscombe's remarkable (and influential) review of Armitage's 'Sequential Medical Trials' back in 1963

        http://www.jstor.org/stable/2283272


Not all university libraries have access via that link and efforts at identifying the citation in Pubmed failed, so could I request a more complete citation, please? Oh never mind I got it with Google. If anyone else needs the ISSN of JASA in which both the cited article and Armitage's reply appeared for the purposes of JSTOR access, it's 01621459.

Sequential Medical Trials
F. J. Anscombe
Journal of the American Statistical Association
Vol. 58, No. 302 (Jun., 1963), pp. 365-383
Published by: American Statistical Association
http://www.jstor.org/stable/2283272

 Sequential Medical Trials: Some Comments on F. J. Anscombe's Paper
 P. Armitage
Journal of the American Statistical Association
Vol. 58, No. 302 (Jun., 1963), pp. 384-387
(article consists of 4 pages)
URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2283273

--
David.
is worth a look by any statistician who is interested in this topic.

It makes explicit several factors that weigh in the ethical assessment of a particular trial design.

He discusses in formal terms the weighing of outcomes for patients in the trial at hand aginst those of future patients and the impact that this might have on design decisions.

HTH,

Chuck



Cheers,

Bert
--
Bert Gunter
Genentech Nonclinical Biostatistics

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Charles C. Berry                            (858) 534-2098
Dept of Family/Preventive Medicine
E mailto:cbe...@tajo.ucsd.edu               UC San Diego
http://famprevmed.ucsd.edu/faculty/cberry/ La Jolla, San Diego 92093-0901

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David Winsemius, MD
West Hartford, CT

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