On Mon, Mar 05, 2012 at 11:21:30AM -0500, Rod Dorman wrote:
> On Monday, March 5, 2012, 09:53:31, /dev/rob0 wrote:
> >  ...
> > Another WAG: maybe your ISP's upstream provider got tired of
> > complaints and implemented this redirection upstream. This would 
> > explain why the ISP would not know.
> 
> I would be horrified is this turned out to be the cause.
> 
> Without deep packet inspection there would be no way to
> distinguish between SMTP packets originating from the ISP's
> MTA vs. his MTA.

Sure there is: IP address. To expand on the previous example:

iptables -N SmtpRedirect
iptables -A SmtpRedirect -p tcp -m multiport --dports 25,587 \
    -j REDIRECT --to-ports 2525
iptables -A FORWARD -s IPS.MTA.IP.addr -j ACCEPT
iptables -A FORWARD <something to detect abuse> -j SmtpRedirect

Packets from that address would never enter the SmtpRedirect chain.

That said, there seems to be cause for horror in any case. One such 
case which I have not yet addressed: the OP could indeed be an 
abuser. But even that case is ISP fail, because limiting it is not 
the solution; cutting it off entirely would be.
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