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--- eli aryani <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> Crew crunch reaching crisis point  :  Nov 26 -
> Lloydslist
>  
> Arthur Bowring : Real shortage is going to bite soon
> THE maritime industry 'has no plan' to cope with the
> shortage of trained and competent crew and officers
> but has so far been spared the full effects of the
> crewing crunch, a leading industry figure has
> warned. 
> 
> Hong Kong Shipowners' Association managing director
> Arthur Bowring told the opening session of the
> SeaTrans Asia conference in Shanghai that the crew
> shortage was a result of fleet growth in the past
> three years which had outpaced desperate attempts to
> plug the gaps, promoting junior officers and even
> seeing training staff return to sea service. 
> 
> "How could we have predicted that so many units
> would be added to the world fleet in three years
> with almost no scrapping? Five years ago we were
> wondering if there would be enough money to replace
> the tanker fleet with double-hull ships by 2010 or
> whether adding one yard in Korea might upset the
> supply and demand balance," he said. 
> 
> Mr Bowring added there was "always the expectation
> that we would muddle through because that's what we
> do, but fleet growth has turned this onto a crisis".
> The 'typical' reaction was to promote as many
> seafarers as possible but this ran the risk of
> bringing down far-reaching consequences on the
> industry. 
> 
> "We have used up the buffer [of seafarers that could
> be promoted] and the real shortage is going to bite
> soon. Are we prepared? No. Do we have a plan? No.
> And as a result we risk the direct threat of new
> regulation." 
> 
> He said the immediate result would be 'big business'
> for those selling fraudulent certificates of
> competency and that 'poaching and promoting' would
> continue as shipowners and managers struggled to
> cover their commitments. 
> 
> "I don't see people discussing it. This is a crisis
> situation and we have to manage it. You wouldn't run
> a factory this way, you wouldn't run an airline this
> way." 
> 
> Mr. Bowring said that by next year the crewing
> crisis could be acute enough to prevent ships from
> sailing but owners unprepared to risk losing charter
> revenue might apply to their flag states for single
> or multiple trip exemptions to operate without the
> required complement. 
> 
> And he warned that pollution incidents or casualties
> that found operational failures to blame might
> encourage pressure groups to make the case for more
> unilateral regulation, citing ships as a potential
> threat to the environment. "Some large
> containerships carry as much fuel as a small tanker.
> If there is an incident which finds the certificates
> were there but the crew was not, it could be an
> excuse to retrofit double hulls to fuel tanks," he
> said. 
> 
> Mr. Bowring said the industry would weather the
> storm but should take steps now to avoid the
> situation worsening by at least acting to retain
> experienced crews. That meant improvements in pay
> and conditions, more direct employment and the kind
> of benefits that workers enjoyed by those ashore. 
> 
> "We need to re-package the maritime career and that
> means pensions, direct employment and health
> benefits. But these things are in our interest. We
> shouldn't entrust our ships to people we don't
> know."
> 
> 
>      
>
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