15 years was what I said, and it wasn't a very carefully calculated time span. However, consider this.
It is inevitable that digital sensors will in time be able to output more and more pixels. Therefore, if the APS sensor does get replaced in time, it won't be by a larger sensor.


It is possible that manufacturers could try using a smaller sensor, but to what advantage? I like modestly-sized cameras, but even for me, the *ist D is quite small enough. I wouldn't buy a smaller camera because it just wouldn't be easy to operate. Aside from the non-issue of in-camera sharpening, nearly all the criticisms of the *ist D revolve around size problems - the 4-way button is too small; the card is hard to get out; it interferes with the strap; it's difficult to operate the aperture ring on older lenses because of the pentaprsm overhang; the lcd is small.

All these are size issues. Nobody wants a smaller camera.

I think APS may be with us in various flavours for a very long time.

John


On Thu, 18 Mar 2004 14:03:27 -0500, Steve Desjardins <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:


Somebody said 15 years.  I consider that a long time by today's
standards.

But seriously folks.  The APS sensor is always going to be cheaper.  It
will be the basis of the cameras that are in "high volume" price range
between $300-700.  Once there are lenses out there at the wide end (and
the 14 is wide enough for most folks)  the FF sensor will have to offer
such a massive increase in performance that you'll feel the need to
switch. With the lenses out there, however, the makers will feel a need
to keep the format alive.  Remember, they wanted this format with film
but there wasn't any real advantage over 35 mm.   And if you never go
higher than 8x10, I doubt you'll think the investment is worth it.  No
art here, just business.


Steven Desjardins Department of Chemistry Washington and Lee University Lexington, VA 24450 (540) 458-8873 FAX: (540) 458-8878 [EMAIL PROTECTED]





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