You know, folks, I had made a comment a while ago that if there were a
sub-$500 DSLR film would be dead.  To be fair I should have said 35mm
would be dead and who knows about MF.  The reaction to the *ist D has
only reinforced this.  Many things can hang around in niche markets (LF)
and even with Kodak essentially putting film on the back burner there
will probably be someone making 35 and 120 for quite a while. 
Nonetheless, all the new 35 mm's I see are ultracheap SLRs like the *ist
because that's the only place 35 mm SLR's hold an advantage.  I think
film P&S's will be dead soon since digital P&S's are getting really
cheap and the bulk of the P&S crowd will be happy with 3 MP sensors.  

The conclusion is easy to see: The major manufacturers will have a low
end SLR for 35 mm and the high end line will be DSLR's.  Sure, some high
end SLR's will still be available (after all, Leica is still selling the
M9, the ultimate niche market) but the bulk of the already "relatively
small" SLR market will go as stated above.  I am even beginning to
question if it is worth Pentax's efforts to bother to retrofit a DSLR as
a companion high-end film body.  

What I find interesting is that Pentax is mentioned a lot more in Photo
pubs since they produced this DSLR.  I think this is the "badge of
honor" needed to be a serious camera maker, not a niche camera maker
like Leica.


Steven Desjardins
Department of Chemistry
Washington and Lee University
Lexington, VA 24450
(540) 458-8873
FAX: (540) 458-8878
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

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