Great news and even more impressive is that Canada is the fastest adopter with ~8% IPv6 penetration, growing from almost 0.5% to 8% in 3 months!!!. See http://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/CA
Telus is making a big difference in Canada as the IPv6 adoption leader @ ~45% IPv6 adoption. http://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/AS852?c=CA&g=&w=1&x=1 Hint, hint, subliminal message here for all Canadian ISPs, IPv6 works ;-) So let's shutdown IPv4 on April 4, 2024 Bonne Année! > -----Original Message----- > From: NANOG [mailto:nanog-boun...@nanog.org] On Behalf Of Jared Mauch > Sent: January-04-16 11:28 AM > To: Ca By > Cc: nanog@nanog.org > Subject: Re: Another Big day for IPv6 - 10% native penetration > > > > On Jan 4, 2016, at 11:09 AM, Ca By <cb.li...@gmail.com> wrote: > > > >> On Mon, Jan 4, 2016 at 3:26 AM, Neil Harris <n...@tonal.clara.co.uk> > wrote: > >> > >>> On 02/01/16 15:35, Tomas Podermanski wrote: > >>> > >>> Hi, > >>> > >>> according to Google's statistics > >>> (https://www.google.com/intl/en/ipv6/statistics.html) on 31st > >>> December > >>> 2015 the IPv6 penetration reached 10% for the very first time. Just > >>> a little reminder. On 20th Nov 2012 the number was 1%. In December > >>> we also celebrated the 20th anniversary of IPv6 standardization - RFC > 1883. > >>> > >>> I'm wondering when we reach another significant milestone - 50% :-) > >>> > >>> Tomas > >> Given the recent doubling growth, and assuming this trend is > >> following a logistic function, then, rounding the numbers a bit for > neatness, I get: > >> > >> Jan 2016: 10% > >> Jan 2017: 20% > >> Jan 2018: 33% > >> Jan 2019: 50% > >> Jan 2020: 67% > >> Jan 2021: 80% > >> Jan 2022: 90% > >> > >> with IPv4 traffic then halving year by year from then on, and IPv4 > >> switch-off (ie. traffic < 1%) around 2027. > >> > >> Neil > > Just a reminder, that 10% is a global number. > > > > The number in the USA is 25% today in general, is 37% for mobile devices. > > > > Furthermore, forecasting is a dark art that frequently simply extends > > the past onto the future. It does not account for purposeful > > engineering design like the "world IPv6 launch" or iOS updates. > > > > For example, once Apple cleanses the app store of IPv4 apps in 2016 as > > they have committed and pushes one of their ubiquitous iOS updates, > > you may see substantial jumps over night in IPv6 eyeballs, possibly > > meaningful moving that 37% number to over 50% in a few shorts weeks. > > > > This will squarely make it clear that IPv4 is minority legacy protocol > > for all of mobile, and thusly the immediate future of the internet. > > I for one welcome the iOS update that brings v6 APN native access to my > phone, or at least v4v6 APN setting. > > I keep hearing rumors it is "coming soon". > > This could have a similar step function in the traffic and graphs.
