one word.    RFC 1918.   Here is an perpetual well of IPv4, packed down, 
overflowing.



manning
bmann...@karoshi.com
PO Box 12317
Marina del Rey, CA 90295
310.322.8102



On 9July2015Thursday, at 6:02, Mark Tinka <mark.ti...@seacom.mu> wrote:

> 
> 
> On 9/Jul/15 14:53, Baldur Norddahl wrote:
>> 
>> That will never happen. If you offer me $1000 per IPv4, then I will happily
>> terminate some user contracts and sell their IP space to you...
>> 
>> In fact it will never become even that expensive. With a marked price of
>> $10 I am buying IP space for customers as needed and I will include free
>> space in the contracts. If the price went to $100 I would tell all users
>> that they need to pay monthly rent for their IP or alternative, the user
>> would have to accept carrier NAT in some form. And then I would proceed to
>> buy a new house for the money I make by selling address space.
>> 
>> There is a ton of address space that is inefficient used. We will be able
>> to buy excess from companies that "create" space by optimizing their
>> existing space. There is a reason we have not seen any rise in the price
>> even after multiple years with depletion in large parts of the world.
> 
> In this particular case, I'm not concerned about the next ten years.
> Predicting what happens between now and then could have a fair degree of
> accuracy.
> 
> I'm more concerned about what happens beyond that. I'm not sure I can
> accurately (even with large error margins) predict what happens then.
> 
> All that said, I'm not trying to paint myself into that kind of corner.
> It is 2015, after all... Just don't tell my competitors...
> 
> Mark.

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