Den 09/07/2015 18.08 skrev "Owen DeLong" <o...@delong.com>:
> > That will never happen. If you offer me $1000 per IPv4, then I will happily > > terminate some user contracts and sell their IP space to you… > > Eventually, you run out of user contracts to terminate. At $1000 per contract I do not care. I will retire and be happy. Seriously ISPs are often valued by number of active contracts. A typical value might be $100 to $200. The value of an IPv4 address can not go any higher than this because at that point you can buy another company just to get the addresses. > > > In fact it will never become even that expensive. With a marked price of > > $10 I am buying IP space for customers as needed and I will include free > > space in the contracts. If the price went to $100 I would tell all users > > that they need to pay monthly rent for their IP or alternative, the user > > would have to accept carrier NAT in some form. And then I would proceed to > > buy a new house for the money I make by selling address space. > > Sure, but aren’t your customers going to start demanding IPv6 instead of that at some point? My customers have been demanding IPv6 for some time already. > > Aren’t they going to start insisting on a service that doesn’t charge per address? They will have their free IPv6 and will care less about a non shared IPv4. This will cause the valuation of IPv4 to crash at some point because the demand will disappear. > > > There is a ton of address space that is inefficient used. We will be able > > to buy excess from companies that "create" space by optimizing their > > existing space. There is a reason we have not seen any rise in the price > > even after multiple years with depletion in large parts of the world. > > Yes… It’s called “soft landing”… ARIN will be the first region to deplete without significant > austerity policies for newcomers to get address space. RIPE gives you 1k addresses. This is not enough even for two guys and a router. But yes it is a nice token. The big companies have now gone without new space for a while. Just a few months ago I bought 2k addresses at $6 per address. I do not observe any rising tendency in IPv4 pricing. Regards Baldur
