On Dec 6, 2014, at 3:27 AM, Alex Band <al...@ripe.net> wrote:
> 
> If ARIN (or another other RIR) went offline or signed broken data, all signed 
> prefixes that previously has the RPKI status "Valid", would fall back to the 
> state "Unknown", as if they were never signed in the first place. The state 
> would NOT be "Invalid". 

Alex - 

Depends on the nature of the error...  In cases of overclaiming,
the current validation algorithm could result in "Invalid".  This
could happen, for example, if major ISP were to initiate transfer
of some number resources to their business unit in another region,
and then fail locally to swing to certs with the reduced resource 
list in a timely manner...  All of the remaining prefixes in the
existing cert would be deemed "invalid" and that could easily result
in some very significant disruption for those validating w/RPKI.
(i.e. as noted in <draft-ietf-sidr-rpki-validation-reconsidered-00>)

FYI,
/John

John Curran
President and CEO
ARIN

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