this is still my favorite post on this subject: http://mailman.nanog.org/pipermail/nanog/2011-February/031737.html
t On Tue, Apr 23, 2013 at 3:36 PM, staticsafe <[email protected]> wrote: > On 4/23/2013 18:04, Leo Bicknell wrote: > > In a message written on Tue, Apr 23, 2013 at 05:41:40PM -0400, > > Valdis Kletnieks wrote: > >> I didn't see any mention of this Tony Hain paper: > >> > >> http://tndh.net/~tony/ietf/ARIN-runout-projection.pdf > >> > >> tl;dr: ARIN predicted to run out of IP space to allocate in > >> August this year. > > > > Here's a Geoff Houston report from 2005: > > > https://www.arin.net/participate/meetings/reports/ARIN_XVI/PDF/wednesday/huston_ipv4_roundtable.pdf > > > > I point to page 8, and the prediction "RIR Pool Exhaustion, 4 > > June 2013". > > > > Those of us who paid attention are well prepared. > > > > tl;dr: Real statistical models properly executed in 2005 were > > remarkably close to the reality 8 years later. > > > On that note, something Mr. Huston wrote more recently: > > "A Primer on IPv4, IPv6 and Transition" > http://www.potaroo.net/ispcol/2013-04/primer.html > > Discussion: > https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5586519 > > -- > staticsafe > O< ascii ribbon campaign - stop html mail - www.asciiribbon.org > Please don't top post - http://goo.gl/YrmAb > Don't CC me! I'm subscribed to whatever list I just posted on. > >
