In a message written on Tue, Apr 23, 2013 at 05:41:40PM -0400, Valdis Kletnieks wrote: > I didn't see any mention of this Tony Hain paper: > > http://tndh.net/~tony/ietf/ARIN-runout-projection.pdf > > tl;dr: ARIN predicted to run out of IP space to allocate in August this year.
Here's a Geoff Houston report from 2005: https://www.arin.net/participate/meetings/reports/ARIN_XVI/PDF/wednesday/huston_ipv4_roundtable.pdf I point to page 8, and the prediction "RIR Pool Exhaustion, 4 June 2013". Those of us who paid attention are well prepared. tl;dr: Real statistical models properly executed in 2005 were remarkably close to the reality 8 years later. -- Leo Bicknell - bickn...@ufp.org - CCIE 3440 PGP keys at http://www.ufp.org/~bicknell/
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