Matthew Petach wrote on 11/01/2024 21:05:
I think that's a bit of an unfair categorization--we can't look at
pre-exhaustion demand numbers and extrapolate to post-exhaustion
allocations, given the difference in allocation policies pre-exhaustion
versus post-exhaustion.
Matt,
the demand for publicly-routable ipv4 addresses would be comparable to
before, with the additional pressure of several years of pent-up demand.
You're right to say that allocation policies could be different, but we
had discussions about run-out policies in each RIR area in the late
2000s and each RIR community settled on particular sets of policies. I
don't see that if an additional set of ipv4 address blocks were to fall
out of the sky, that any future run-out policies would be much different
to what we had before.
So 240/4 might last a month, or a year, or two, or be different in each
RIR service area, but it's not going to change anything fundamental
here, or permanently move the dial: ipv4 will still be a scarce resource
afterwards.
Nick
