ARIN has been gutting IPv4 free-pool based policy left and right lately… Other 
RIRs have not been quite as aggressive, but have done some similar things. 
This, if for no other reason, makes it a bad idea to suddenly restore RIR IPv4 
free pools.

Just my $0.02.

I’ve got as little power in the IETF as it’s possible to have, but I admit I do 
share in the consensus view that the effort spent writing up a plan for 240/4 
would be better invested in deploying IPv6.

Owen


> On Jan 11, 2024, at 13:05, Matthew Petach <mpet...@netflight.com> wrote:
> 
> 
> 
> On Thu, Jan 11, 2024 at 9:29 AM Tom Beecher <beec...@beecher.cc 
> <mailto:beec...@beecher.cc>> wrote:
>> Christopher-
>> 
>>> Reclassifying this space, would add 10+ years onto the free pool for each 
>>> RIR. Looking at the APNIC free pool, I would estimate there is about 1/6th 
>>> of a /8 pool available for delegation, another 1/6th reserved. 
>>> Reclassification would see available pool volumes return to pre-2010 levels.
>> 
>> Citing Nick Hilliard from another reply, this is an incorrect statement. 
>> 
>>> on this point: prior to RIR depletion, the annual global run-rate on /8s
>>> measured by IANA was ~13 per annum. So that suggests that 240/4 would
>>> provide a little more than 1Y of consumption, assuming no demand
>>> back-pressure, which seems an unlikely assumption.
> 
> 
> Hi Tom,
> 
> I think that's a bit of an unfair categorization--we can't look at 
> pre-exhaustion demand numbers and extrapolate to post-exhaustion allocations, 
> given the difference in allocation policies pre-exhaustion versus 
> post-exhaustion.
> 
> If we limited ISPs to a single /22 of post-exhaustion space, with a minimum 1 
> year waiting period to come back to request an additional /22, 240/4 would 
> last a good long time.
> That aligns with ARIN's current NPRM initial allocation, post-exhaustion:
> 4.2.2. Initial Allocation to ISPs
> All ISP organizations without direct assignments or allocations from ARIN 
> qualify for an initial allocation of up to a /22, subject to ARIN’s minimum 
> allocation size.
> 
> 
> If you already *have* existing IPv4 space, I would propose you be ineligible 
> to apply to ARIN for space from within 240/4; you already have a functioning 
> business with some amount of IPv4 space, and can look at either trying to be 
> more efficient with what you have (more CG-NAT, renumber off public space for 
> internal links, etc.), or participating in the open market for IPv4 space 
> transfers.
> 
> 240/4 can be made to last a very long time, if we apply post-exhaustion 
> rules, rather than allowing pre-exhaustion demand curves to continue forward.
> 
> 
>>> I share Dave's views, I would like to see 240/4 reclassified as unicast 
>>> space and 2 x /8s delegated to each RIR with the /8s for AFRINIC to be held 
>>> until their issues have been resolved.
>> 
>> This has been discussed at great length at IETF. The consensus on the 
>> question has been consistent for many years now; doing work to free up 
>> 12-ish months of space doesn't make much sense when IPv6 exists, along with 
>> plenty of transition/translation mechanisms. Unless someone is able to 
>> present new arguments that change the current consensus, it's not going to 
>> happen. 
> 
> The key difference is that IPv6-only doesn't (currently) work, 
> transition/translation mechanisms require an entity to have at least *some* 
> IPv4 addresses to anchor their transition/translation mechanisms to, and 
> we've created a situation that presents significant barriers to entry for new 
> applicants that existing entities don't face.  At some point in the near 
> future, I suspect governments will begin to look at the current ISP 
> environment as anti-competitive if we don't adjust our stance to ensure a 
> fair and level playing field for new entrants as well as existing incumbent 
> providers.  I think we're going to need to ensure that new applicants are 
> able to get their initial allocation of space for the foreseeable future in 
> order to fend off increasing regulatory pressure.  Adding space from 240/4 to 
> the initial-allocations-only pool would help ensure that.
> 
>  
>> 
>> On Thu, Jan 11, 2024 at 5:54 AM Christopher Hawker <ch...@thesysadmin.au 
>> <mailto:ch...@thesysadmin.au>> wrote:
>>> There really is no reason for 240/4 to remain "reserved". I share Dave's 
>>> views, I would like to see 240/4 reclassified as unicast space and 2 x /8s 
>>> delegated to each RIR with the /8s for AFRINIC to be held until their 
>>> issues have been resolved.
>>> 
>>> Reclassifying this space, would add 10+ years onto the free pool for each 
>>> RIR. Looking at the APNIC free pool, I would estimate there is about 1/6th 
>>> of a /8 pool available for delegation, another 1/6th reserved. 
>>> Reclassification would see available pool volumes return to pre-2010 levels.
>>> 
>>> https://www.apnic.net/manage-ip/ipv4-exhaustion/
>>> 
>>> In the IETF draft that was co-authored by Dave as part of the IPv4 Unicast 
>>> Extensions Project, a very strong case was presented to convert this space.
>>> 
>>> https://www.ietf.org/archive/id/draft-schoen-intarea-unicast-240-00.html
>>> 
>>> Regards,
>>> Christopher Hawker
> 
> 
> Thanks!
> 
> Matt
>  

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