On 3/26/21 19:58, Randy Bush wrote:
in 2010, the internet society made some videos on possible internet
futures ten years out, i.e. nowish. nothing spot on, but themes
can be seen for sure.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PB4zfGwctGc
The production style alone takes me back. I never owned a Blackberry,
but I just thought about it :-).
* They were right about platforms becoming important (tablets, mobile
phones, wearables, e.t.c.). What they didn't foresee was that
platforms and traditional OS's would be outdone by the app. The app
is now everything, and all platforms and OS's strive to do is make
sure the app is front & centre, dulling the hardware and software
fundamentals into the background.
* I can see why they envisaged the Internet getting broken up into
partitioned islands. What they didn't account for was that telco's
would no longer be in charge of building the global network at
scale, but rather, content folk.
* They put a bit of stock in classic news still being relevant 10
years on. I can see why. But hell, social media took care of that
problem :-).
* Where I would agree one of their assumptions "may" align with one
niche - the newspaper - in 2021, is that news content will not be
restricted to professional journalists, but also to regular folk who
are granted some kind of access to publish on the digital version of
a reputable paper. This, of course, is only if traditional news
media still wants to promote the idea that quality news actually
matters.
If the last decade is anything to go by, I'm keen to see what the next
one brings.
Mark.
