Thanks! To my knowledge, this does not include Hanscom.

Cheers
Randi

On Fri, Jun 20, 2025 at 12:11 PM Scott Clary <[email protected]> wrote:

> Interesting. Thanks for sharing. Curious if those population numbers
> include Hanscom?
>
> On Fri, Jun 20, 2025, 11:37 AM Randi Rotjan <[email protected]>
> wrote:
>
>> Hi LT!
>>
>> I've been doing a little homework on town demographics with the Assessors
>> office, and thought many of you might be interested in what we've found! If
>> you have additional data to share, please do.
>>
>> Cheers,
>> Randi
>>
>> How much of Lincoln’s population has turned over? A quick analysis:
>>
>> Summary: In 15 years, 62.6% of the population has turned over since 2010 
>> according
>> to public Census data
>> <https://censusreporter.org/profiles/06000US2501735425-lincoln-town-middlesex-county-ma/>.
>> With a more detailed look at MLS listings (which are incomplete, and do NOT
>> include rentals, which are 38% of the housing units) I found that there has
>> been a ~40% turnover in owner-occupied units in 10 years (2014-2024; see
>> table below), with a breakdown of roughly 50% turnover in condos, and
>> 37% turnover in single family houses. (Math is broken down below). There
>> has also been a ~17.5% total turnover since the onset of COVID.
>>
>>
>>    1.
>>
>>    Turnover data from Census since 2010:
>>    
>> <https://censusreporter.org/profiles/06000US2501735425-lincoln-town-middlesex-county-ma/>
>>
>>
>> 29.1% + 24.5% + 9% = 62.6% population has moved into town since 2010.
>>
>>
>>    2.
>>
>>    Turnover data from MLS listings and town data since 2014:
>>    
>> <https://censusreporter.org/profiles/06000US2501735425-lincoln-town-middlesex-county-ma/>
>>
>>
>> CONDOS:
>>
>> ~50% (49.5%) since 2014 (199 sold /402 total)
>>
>> SINGLE FAMILY HOUSES:
>>
>> 37% (37.1%) since 2014 (570 sold/1535 total)
>>
>> TOTAL = 769 sold /1937 total = ~40% (39.7%) turnover in 10 years
>> (2014-2024)
>>
>> POST-COVID turnover: 339 sold /1937 total = ~17.5% turnover since COVID
>> began (2020-2024)
>>
>>
>>
>> Year
>>
>> # Single Family Homes sold (1,535 total units as of 2025)
>>
>> # Condos Sold (402 total units as of 2025)
>>
>> Total town population (#)
>>
>> 2014
>>
>> 64
>>
>> 12
>>
>> 6,362
>>
>> 2015
>>
>> 47
>>
>> 22
>>
>> 2016
>>
>> 56
>>
>> 18
>>
>> 2017
>>
>> 44
>>
>> 18
>>
>> 2018
>>
>> 61
>>
>> 18
>>
>> 2019
>>
>> 49
>>
>> 21
>>
>> 2020
>>
>> 61
>>
>> 18
>>
>> 7,014
>>
>> 2021
>>
>> 58
>>
>> 24
>>
>> 2022
>>
>> 43
>>
>> 13
>>
>> 6,855
>>
>> 2023
>>
>> 45
>>
>> 11
>>
>> 2024
>>
>> 42
>>
>> 24
>>
>> 6,996
>>
>> TOTALS
>>
>> 570
>>
>> 199
>>
>>
>> Average # persons per household: 2.56 (Census data)
>>
>>
>> --
>> *Randi Rotjan, Ph.D. | she / her / hers | *
>> *Science Lead, Blue Nature Alliance <https://www.bluenaturealliance.org/>*
>> *Associate Research Professor, Dept. of Biology, **Boston University*
>> *http://sites.bu.edu/rotjanlab/ <http://sites.bu.edu/rotjanlab/> ** | 
>> **Google
>> Scholar
>> <https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=kjjMY3IAAAAJ&hl=en&oi=ao> *
>> *As of Fall 2025: Associate Professor, Dept. of Biology, Tufts University*
>> --
>> The LincolnTalk mailing list.
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>>
>>

-- 
*Randi Rotjan, Ph.D. | she / her / hers | *
*Science Lead, Blue Nature Alliance <https://www.bluenaturealliance.org/>*
*Associate Research Professor, Dept. of Biology, **Boston University*
*http://sites.bu.edu/rotjanlab/ <http://sites.bu.edu/rotjanlab/> ** | **Google
Scholar
<https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=kjjMY3IAAAAJ&hl=en&oi=ao> *
*As of Fall 2025: Associate Professor, Dept. of Biology, Tufts University*
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