Interesting. Thanks for sharing. Curious if those population numbers
include Hanscom?

On Fri, Jun 20, 2025, 11:37 AM Randi Rotjan <[email protected]> wrote:

> Hi LT!
>
> I've been doing a little homework on town demographics with the Assessors
> office, and thought many of you might be interested in what we've found! If
> you have additional data to share, please do.
>
> Cheers,
> Randi
>
> How much of Lincoln’s population has turned over? A quick analysis:
>
> Summary: In 15 years, 62.6% of the population has turned over since 2010 
> according
> to public Census data
> <https://censusreporter.org/profiles/06000US2501735425-lincoln-town-middlesex-county-ma/>.
> With a more detailed look at MLS listings (which are incomplete, and do NOT
> include rentals, which are 38% of the housing units) I found that there has
> been a ~40% turnover in owner-occupied units in 10 years (2014-2024; see
> table below), with a breakdown of roughly 50% turnover in condos, and 37%
> turnover in single family houses. (Math is broken down below). There has
> also been a ~17.5% total turnover since the onset of COVID.
>
>
>    1.
>
>    Turnover data from Census since 2010:
>    
> <https://censusreporter.org/profiles/06000US2501735425-lincoln-town-middlesex-county-ma/>
>
>
> 29.1% + 24.5% + 9% = 62.6% population has moved into town since 2010.
>
>
>    2.
>
>    Turnover data from MLS listings and town data since 2014:
>    
> <https://censusreporter.org/profiles/06000US2501735425-lincoln-town-middlesex-county-ma/>
>
>
> CONDOS:
>
> ~50% (49.5%) since 2014 (199 sold /402 total)
>
> SINGLE FAMILY HOUSES:
>
> 37% (37.1%) since 2014 (570 sold/1535 total)
>
> TOTAL = 769 sold /1937 total = ~40% (39.7%) turnover in 10 years
> (2014-2024)
>
> POST-COVID turnover: 339 sold /1937 total = ~17.5% turnover since COVID
> began (2020-2024)
>
>
>
> Year
>
> # Single Family Homes sold (1,535 total units as of 2025)
>
> # Condos Sold (402 total units as of 2025)
>
> Total town population (#)
>
> 2014
>
> 64
>
> 12
>
> 6,362
>
> 2015
>
> 47
>
> 22
>
> 2016
>
> 56
>
> 18
>
> 2017
>
> 44
>
> 18
>
> 2018
>
> 61
>
> 18
>
> 2019
>
> 49
>
> 21
>
> 2020
>
> 61
>
> 18
>
> 7,014
>
> 2021
>
> 58
>
> 24
>
> 2022
>
> 43
>
> 13
>
> 6,855
>
> 2023
>
> 45
>
> 11
>
> 2024
>
> 42
>
> 24
>
> 6,996
>
> TOTALS
>
> 570
>
> 199
>
>
> Average # persons per household: 2.56 (Census data)
>
>
> --
> *Randi Rotjan, Ph.D. | she / her / hers | *
> *Science Lead, Blue Nature Alliance <https://www.bluenaturealliance.org/>*
> *Associate Research Professor, Dept. of Biology, **Boston University*
> *http://sites.bu.edu/rotjanlab/ <http://sites.bu.edu/rotjanlab/> ** | **Google
> Scholar
> <https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=kjjMY3IAAAAJ&hl=en&oi=ao> *
> *As of Fall 2025: Associate Professor, Dept. of Biology, Tufts University*
> --
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