Hi all,

> On Jan 12, 2016, at 17:07, Zeev Suraski <z...@zend.com> wrote:
> 
> Out of 45 approved RFC, 34 would have cleared a 90% bar, 35 would have 
> cleared an 85% bar, and 38 would have cleared a 75% bar.
> 
> To the best of my recollection, all of the RFCs that generated major storms 
> fall in the these 7 RFCs that cleared the 67% mark, but failed the 75% mark.
> 
> Very importantly, out of the RFCs that cleared 85% and 90% - none had more 
> than 5 people opposing, most had 0, and most of the rest had less than 3.
> 
> It's also worth noting that once you clear the 75% mark, you're very likely 
> to also clear 85% and 90%.  Only 3 RFCs cleared 75% and didn't clear 90%.
> 
> What I'm getting at is this:
> 
> Most passed RFCs are manage to gain something that's very close to consensus, 
> way higher than 2/3, with barely a handful of people opposing.
> 
> If the vote is close to 2/3 - there are very high chances that the RFC is 
> controversial, that people who oppose it will be opposing it passionately, 
> and that as civilized as we try to be - bad vibes are likely to ensue.

This is a very interesting analysis, and I find it appealing.

An alternative interpretation might be: "As people feel an RFC is near the 
pass/fail point, they argue it more vociferously." That's more ... dynamic? ... 
interpretation, in that it doesn't matter where the pass/fail point is (2/3, 
3/4, etc); conversational volume increases around that point wherever it is. 
When the perceived support is much higher, or much lower, than the pass/fail 
point, the conversational volume decreases.

That's an untested hypothesis, of course. If it's true, though, it means that 
raising the bar to 4/5 means conversational volume will increase only for RFCs 
that already have very high support, which is probably not the intended 
consequence of raising the bar.


-- 
Paul M. Jones
pmjone...@gmail.com
http://paul-m-jones.com

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