On Sat, Apr 12, 2025 at 12:45 AM Dave Crocker <d...@dcrocker.net> wrote:
>
> Out in the real world, the problem is caused by lack of adequate
> controls over users, on some platforms.



Consider an outbound email spam filtering system that's 99.9% accurate.
Under normal circumstances, that's good performance. Under the DKIM replay
scenario, that 0.1% gets amplified by a factor of hundreds of thousands or
millions to one.

DKIM replay also degrades the performance of outbound filters. Any
anti-spam system works better when it has more data to work with, and DKIM
replay removes some of the strongest signals by sending to a single
recipient. Content classification alone is insufficiently accurate, even if
you were to have humans do it, and the amplification factor of replay gives
attackers incentive to try 50 or 100 different things until they find
something that gets through.

I don't think anyone here reasonably expects inbound spam filters to be
100% accurate in practice, so why would that expectation apply to outbound
systems?
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