I'm assuming that Bill Johnson has look at statistics on deaths per 
kilogram-kilometer (or deaths per ton-mile if you don't like Metric). And, yes, 
there are other factors affecting that, e.g., condition of road surface.

Personally, I think that truck speed and truck size are independent variables, 
so I would like to see a study that did a four-way comparison: large-fast, 
large, slow, small-fast, small-slow. I suspect that speed is more relevant than 
size, but data trump suspicions. And what about shipping by rail or, where 
feasible, by boat?


--
Shmuel (Seymour J.) Metz
http://mason.gmu.edu/~smetz3

________________________________________
From: IBM Mainframe Discussion List [IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU] on behalf of Bob 
Bridges [robhbrid...@gmail.com]
Sent: Monday, August 7, 2023 7:32 PM
To: IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU
Subject: Re: [EXT] Re: Cloud may be overpriced compared to on-premises systems

This is off-topic, and I'll happily take it up with both Bill and Shmuel 
offline if requested.  But I may as well point out that "fewer deaths" may not 
be as simple as they're assuming.  It seems likely to me as well that if we had 
smaller trucks going slower, fewer people would die in accidents caused by 
bigger trucks going faster.  But how many people would die because of smaller 
trucks going slower?  You gotta compare deaths to deaths, not simply deaths to 
nothing.

Why would people die from smaller trucks going slower?  Well, a good deal less 
cargo would be transported as a result, and I surmise (but it's only surmise) 
that there'd be a lot more pressure on drivers, as a result, to produce more.  
Some of that pressure would translate to tired drivers.  And all of it would 
translate to more expensive transportation, meaning that poorer people would 
have increased difficulty affording the goods that are cheaper now.

Don't assume I'm saying that it's better as we do things now.  I'm not; I'm 
just saying that "this cause of death would be reduced" is no help unless you 
can estimate how many deaths would also increase.  And if anyone thinks there'd 
be NO deaths owing to more expensive goods, I'll just shut up.

---
Bob Bridges, robhbrid...@gmail.com, cell 336 382-7313

/* A good scare is worth more than good advice.  -Horace (65 BC – 8 BC) */

-----Original Message-----
From: IBM Mainframe Discussion List <IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU> On Behalf Of 
Bill Johnson
Sent: Monday, August 7, 2023 18:45

For Americans here who’ve never been to Europe, trucks in Europe are much 
smaller than US trucks, are required to have governors to limit their speed, 
and are restricted to the right lane. The result is far fewer traffic deaths 
involving trucks.

In addition, Europeans almost never drive pickups and their automobiles are 
much smaller.

Their rates of deaths and serious injury are far less than America.

So for you pro life people, perhaps some road restrictions would keep more 
people alive.

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