It wouldn't surprise me in the least if Nick were even more doubting than I am, similar to how ex-smokers become the most vehement anti-smoking zealots or how militant atheists seem to have been reared steeped in some religious tradition. Most of us "live inside our own heads". The tendency for us to prefer *ideas* over realities has become obvious in recent years (e.g. filter bubbles). I suppose that's the trouble with interacting mostly via text/words/concepts/ideas, with very little or no meat-space-mediated interaction. And truly disjoint categories can only exist in the world of ideas. Out in meat space, there is no this or that, only a colloidal stew.
On 07/09/2018 11:53 AM, Frank Wimberly wrote: > p.s. I also said that the probability of heads for a fair coin is 0.5. Of > course, that's a definition but since he was denying the reality of > probability I think that cut some ice. > > ---- > Frank Wimberly > > www.amazon.com/author/frankwimberly > <http://www.amazon.com/author/frankwimberly> > > https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Frank_Wimberly2 > > Phone (505) 670-9918 > > On Mon, Jul 9, 2018, 12:50 PM Frank Wimberly <[email protected] > <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote: > > Actually Nick is competitive with you for skepticism. We were discussing > probabilities and he said you can't know the probability of an event based on > past observations. He basically said just because the probability of an > event has always been P, how do you know it still is? Is that a fair > characterization of what you said, Nick? -- ☣ uǝlƃ ============================================================ FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ by Dr. Strangelove
