I'd love to discuss this topic in more detail with anyone who is interested.  
It is currently a topic of my guest blog on www.cognitive-edge.com

Since Flexner in 1910, we have followed a "Scientific Management" approach to 
medicine.  Truth is, we had to, as there was so much quackery involved in 
medicine and medical education at that time.  We used a reductionist 
methodology to solve the complicated areas of medicine and healthcare.  There 
was quite a bit.  However, the "wicked problems", to use complexity theory 
jargon, remained.  Our mistake was attempting to use the same reductionist 
principles in dealing with problems of finance, access and lifestyle choices.  
It's not so much that numbers are not our friends, its that numbers do not 
supply the answers.

"Evidence based medicine" is an extension of the reductionist methodology.  It 
works great for complicated problems in medicine.  It is useless for complex 
problems, and an attempt at employing it only makes the complex problems worse. 
 Is the cost/access/quality conundrum better or worse now than 15 years ago?  I 
would say it is WORSE because we have treated the problem as complicated, 
attempted to impose order in an emergently-ordered system and failed to 
recognize inflection points for change.  As Porter and Teisberg have so 
eloquently stated in "Redefining Health Care: Creating Value-Based Competition 
on Results", our well-meaning tinkering has exacerbated the problem and pushed 
us to the brink of chaos.  If things progress along the same trajectory, we 
will be off the cliff shortly.

There is an extensive body of academic thought on this subject.  Google "Paul 
Plsek", "Sholum Glouberman" "Mark Quirk" and "Trisha Greenhalgh" for 
peer-reviewed articles.  Medicine is a combination of metacognition and 
intuition.  Reductionist thinking fails both.

The proof, of course, is in the results.  www.plexusinstitute.org describes the 
ONLY studies that have shown a reduction in MRSA, the scourge of the modern 
hospital.  It has not been reduced through process, but through "positive 
deviance".

The answer, in my humble opinion, is not an either/or approach to process and 
starting point--like Avedis Donabedian, I believe both are important.  
Evidence-based medicine is needed in SOME areas, but in others, it will lead to 
an intellectual tyranny and analysis paralysis.  The key is knowing where, and 
when, to make the shift.

The exclusive application of population-based studies to individual patient 
care is only satisfactory to the newly-minted physician, and will never be 
satisfactory to the patient.  I myself was in the situation of having had an 
anaphylactic reaction to a blood transfusion, only to have the blood bank 
pathologist tell me it should not have happened, and he wanted to repeat the 
process.  I told him to take a flying leap, especially since pre-treating me 
with steroids (outside the "evidence-based" protocol) solved the problem.

Population studies alone would be viable if every patient had the same starting 
point. We have not advanced enough to identify all the characteristics of those 
starting points.  "Outcome" is an emergent characteristic, and is almost 
impossible to exactly duplicate.  It can be approximated, but the degree to 
which it is approximated is an intersection of that metacognition and 
intuition.  Both are "capabilities", not skills, that can be learned but cannot 
be taught.  

If health care was easy, why would we have such a mess on our hands?

The truth is we need people like you, people who understand Complex Adaptive 
Systems, to become involved in the debate and demand that those in the position 
to make decisions wake up and listen to us.

My "zwei Groeschen"

Russ #3
On Jan 19, 2010, at 7:41 PM, Douglas Roberts wrote:

> 
> 
> On Tue, Jan 19, 2010 at 6:13 PM, Pamela McCorduck <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> On Jan 19, 2010, at 7:15 PM, Miles Parker wrote:
> 
> 
> 
> It was surprising to me to find the extent to which just basic traditional 
> statistical techniques have not made it into health care practice until quite 
> recently. Is it a stretch to imagine that part of the reluctance of doctors 
> to embrace the kinds of techniques used in other fields could be in part due 
> to an inherent (if unstated and poorly realized) conviction that these 
> systems have emergent properties?
> 
> Maybe they don't think numbers are their friends.
> 
> That just doesn't add up. 
> 
> 
> 
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
> 
> 
> 
> -- 
> Doug Roberts
> [email protected]
> [email protected]
> 505-455-7333 - Office
> 505-670-8195 - Cell
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

Reply via email to