http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/press/releases/press02202006.html and
http://usinfo.state.gov/gi/Archive/2005/Aug/08-339612.html
or do a google search on "MIDAS bird flu policy" for more info.
--Doug
On 8/8/06,
Robert Holmes <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
Oh I thank RAND are probably plenty ambitious in what they simulate for the US govt. Just check out their research areas: http://www.rand.org/research_areas/
Robert
On 8/8/06, [EMAIL PROTECTED] < [EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:Quoting Robert Holmes <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>:
> So if 'valid' simulations are being used to give the 'wrong' answers, what
> does that tell us about simulation? Is there ever any hope of objectivity
> (I'll give away the answer to that: no) or do all social simulations -
> political or economic - inevitably reflect the prejudices of their author or
> funder?
Validated simulations, by definition, reproduce something that the authors (or
funders) deem relevant as a performance metric. But that's not a problem with
models or simulations, assuming the metrics are documented. If the authors or
funders are prone to choosing easy, low dimensional things to fit, they just
need to be more ambitious.
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--
Doug Roberts, RTI International
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
505-455-7333 - Office
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