Intelligence is a very fuzzy and cloudy concept. My guess 
it that the first machines with human-like intelligence 
and self-consciousness are not far away, 10-20 years 
perhaps (see the bets at http://www.longbets.org/1 or
http://www.longbets.org/15). This will certainly be a 
major breakthrough - the next big evolutionary transition.
I personally think it is easier to build intelligent 
agents in virtual worlds than robots in real worlds,
and I would expect the breakthrough here in the virtual 
world. For the "secret of true AI", see the discussion at
http://tinyurl.com/j4qck or http://tinyurl.com/k88wd  

-J.


-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf
Of Phil Henshaw
Sent: Friday, June 23, 2006 2:43 AM
To: 'The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group'
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Sensor networks and self-organization

Yea, how far away would anyone guess it is to the invention of the first
'intelligent' machine?   Do you think it's a matter of one or many
missing discoveries, or just applying current knowledge in a more
complex way?  


Phil Henshaw                       ¸¸¸¸.·´ ¯ `·.¸¸¸¸
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
680 Ft. Washington Ave 
NY NY 10040                       
tel: 212-795-4844                 
e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]          
explorations: www.synapse9.com    



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