I agree - I can’t imagine a huge difference between cars, unless perhaps it is 
one of the newer cars that is designed to be low c02 in manufacturing and 
highly recyclable. Even then I wonder how much better they are. 

Let’s face it, the only ‘green’ car is the one that is not built. 

-Steve

> On Jan 5, 2023, at 2:52 PM, Lawrence Winiarski via EV <ev@lists.evdl.org> 
> wrote:
> 
> 
> Where do you think these idiots get their information about how much energy 
> it takes to build a car...or the "carbon footprint"?   
> 
> If you are actually trying to measure "energy" you need to be able to isolate 
> what you are actually measuring.
> 
> Where do you draw the line about how much energy it takes to build a car?   
> Is it the energy consumption of a factory?  What about the energy consumption 
> of the factories of the suppliers who make the 
> parts...tires...glass..plastic, the hoses, the clamps,   If a factory buys 
> parts from a supplier or makes them in house, how does that enter into the 
> equations?   Then if you pay a worker at your factory, and the worker spends 
> his wages driving monster trucksfor fun on weekends and goes through 100 
> gallons of gas, or a different worker spends the weekend readinga book...does 
> that affect the "carbon  footprint"?
> 
> And then what about energy needed for the workers to get to and from work?  
> How about the energy needed to run the streetlights on the road they use to 
> get to work?  How about the energy needed to heat the homes of the people who 
> mine the raw materials?   How about the energy to make the food to feed the 
> workers?   How about the energy used by the teachers?  The schools and 
> universities?  The asphalt for the roads?
> 
> Call me cynical but my guess is these people who claim to analyze carbon 
> footprints are 99% full of hot air.    They don't actually go out an measure 
> anything, they just repeat something they read or heard, (and often the most 
> provocative things tend to get repeated)  which leads to an endless repeating 
> cycle of baloney by people who crave endless attention.
> 
> I don't claim to have measured anything, but my common sense says an EV is a 
> car and and ICE is a car and that my "guess" is that it is highly likely that 
> the energy required to make them is (or could be) pretty damn comparable.     
> By weight and volume the EV and the ICE are more alike than different.   
> 
> 
> 
> 
>   On Thursday, January 5, 2023, 12:20:43 AM PST, Michael Ross via EV 
> <ev@lists.evdl.org> wrote:  
> 
> I am trying to understand if Zeihan has an agenda. His expertise is
> understanding geography and demographics. Knowing what ingredients go into
> making the world go around, and details like, what does it take to make the
> unique aluminum alloy that Tesla has crafted to make body parts that are
> not steel. The claim is that this is significant and the carbon
> footprint of an ICE made from steel is significantly better.
> 
> Regarding the inputs to EVs, certainly the availability of lithium is not
> good. Nor is it good for cobalt, or nickel.  I have spent some time
> thinking about the battery business, even had conversations with Jeff Dahn
> and Aaron Cross (the Tesla cell life engineer). The time and commitment to
> mine and process more of these material inputs could be a serious
> impediment to EV growth. Regarding LiFePO, we have enough phosphate for
> current use like fertilizer for crops. It takes years to build and start
> operating a phosphate mine. If LiFePO is the future, we do not have a ready
> supply.
> 
> I posted so maybe I could get some wisdom that is not anecdotal. Does
> anyone know about the supply side of Li batteries? In 2013 when I was
> studying this topic, it did not look like a sure thing.  Do we know what
> sort of carbon cost is built into them? Only JB Straubel is working the
> recycling angle. How is that going?
> 
> At this moment in time, EV production is nowhere near the scale necessary
> to make headway reducing carbon in the atmosphere. It could be we are years
> or decades from solving this. That is the gist of Zeihan's assertion. Now
> that we are getting shale oil in North America, that cost is way less for
> us in the US. That alone can damage the transition to EVs from ICE.
> 
> I think there is a lot of guesswork being presented to the effect that EVs
> are going to be with us soon, en masse.
> 
> 
>> On Thu, Jan 5, 2023 at 1:59 AM Steves via EV <ev@lists.evdl.org> wrote:
>> 
>> Haven’t read the article, but perhaps he assumes virgin aluminum, which is
>> very energy intensive. However even if virgin aluminum is used, 90% of big
>> scrap (like car) aluminum is recycled, so that energy is essentially
>> reclaimed out the back end.
>> 
>> One has to read this kind of stuff very carefully. My dad was a staunch
>> conservative and listened religiously to Rush Limbaugh. RL was ranting one
>> day about laws to give up regular lightbulbs for CFLs, and if you broke a
>> CFL your house became a hazmat area due the (minuscule) amount of mercury.
>> I had to explain that since most of our energy comes from coal, and coal
>> has mercury, that regular bulbs, being so inefficient, cause much more
>> mercury to be spewed into the atmosphere over the bulbs lifetime.
>> 
>> That’s why I haven’t bothered reading the article. Beware of people with
>> agendas.
>> 
>> -Steve
>> 
>>> On Jan 4, 2023, at 11:36 PM, Michael Ross via EV <ev@lists.evdl.org>
>> wrote:
>>> 
>>> Zeihan says ICE looks a lot better and leans on the aluminum in the
>> Tesla
>>> bodywork. I wonder about this, but don't know how to evaluate it.
>>> 
>>>> On Wed, Jan 4, 2023 at 4:36 PM John Lussmyer via EV <ev@lists.evdl.org>
>>>> wrote:
>>>> 
>>>> Just one of the many issues to point out:
>>>> 
>>>>> On 1/4/2023 12:29 PM, Michael Ross via EV wrote:
>>>>> The carbon footprint of Teslas
>>>>> is not good when you correctly factor in the manufacturing footprint.
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> Do the same calcs for a Gas car - which makes the EV look far better.
>>>> 
>>>> 
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>>> 
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> Michael E. Ross
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